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Results:

• 11. Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS

  The advantage of Monte Carlo analysis is its general appli- cability and that it does not impose many assumptions on prob- ability distributions and correlations and that it can be linked to any model code. The key limitation is the large run times for computationally intensive models and the huge amount of outputs that are not always straightforward to analyse. 4.8. Multiple model simulation Multiple model /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf

• 12. Eriksson_2-Acceptability-of-policy

  (Stern, 2002) 4 5 (1) Concepts • Acceptability - attitude toward policy (e.g., Schade, 2003). Salient beliefs attitudes (Eagly & Chaiken, 1993). • Acceptability (before implementation) versus acceptance (after implementation) (Gärling et al. 2008) • Attitude (acceptability/acceptance) versus behaviour (Eagly & Chaiken, 1993) (2) Factors important for acceptability • Acceptability /media/loftslag/Eriksson_2-Acceptability-of-policy.pdf

• 13. Bardarbunga_kafli20140825

  have not been located it is not clear whether eruptions on the central part of the system belong to a central volcano or the ice covered fissure swarm. Both cases will generate jökulhlaups from rapidly melting ice. All explosive eruptions originating below ice are therefore described together. 4 4.1 Bárðarbunga central volcano and adjacent ice covered fissure swarm 1. Phreatomagmatic /media/jar/Bardarbunga_kafli20140825.pdf

• 14. Kok_JGEC658_2009

  drivers of demand increase based on Kaimowitz et al. (2004). Relative to this, changes in profit- ability are slightly lower (C8! C9 (+0.8)), although this process is one of the key drivers of the system as well. Population Table 2 Summary of values of all relationships in the Fuzzy Cognitive Map for the Brazilian Amazon. First-order class Second-order class Relationship Value Strong Strong C10! C9 0.9 /media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf

• 15. Group3-Road-scenarios

  in asphalt, road maintenace Change: 30% more than BAU Socio-economic scenario Climate scenario Worst case (4.4 C increase; 17 % increase in prec) Best case (1.5 C increase; 2% increase in prec) BAU A B Change +30 % C D Spatial analogues: - regions which today have a similar climate to the expected future one the study region (IPCC TAR, 2001) - limited by possible lack /media/loftslag/Group3-Road-scenarios.pdf

• 16. CASE_B__Heikki_Tuomenvirta_(FMI)_Introduction

  of climate change on the routine and periodic maintenance of roads. Helsinki 2009. Finnish Road Administration, Central Administration. Finnra reports 8/2009, 66 p. + app. 8 p. ISSN 1459-1553, ISBN 978-952-221-172-9, TIEH 3201122-v. (in Finnish, abstract in English) [5] Salanne, i., Byring, B., Valli, R., Tikkanen, R., Peltonen, P., Haapala, J., Jylhä, K., Tolonen-Kivimäki, O., and Tuomenvirta, H /media/loftslag/CASE_B__Heikki_Tuomenvirta_(FMI)_Introduction.pdf

• 17. vonKorff_etal-2010

  played a role in this first phase as the author tables on decision analysis show. In summary, the comparison resulted in the reconstruction of 10 steps on which there appears to be considerable agreement among the five guides. 1. DA 1: Assemble a team for decision analysis as part of the participation design. Its members should belong to the lead agency, e.g., the water board, but can also /media/loftslag/vonKorff_etal-2010.pdf

• 18. Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling

  are labelled according to the geographical area of application. Examples such as Zürich and Hase II have already been reviewed and categorized in Hare et al. (2003) and Bots and van Daalen (2008), respectively. The entire Iskar process, of which Iskar (Phase I) is a part, has been categorized by Barreteau et al. (2010). All are included in this review to provide alternative analytical perspectives /media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf

• 19. Group2-report

  1    Adaptive management to climate change in Horsens Fjord using scenario  development    Report by Maria, Azhar, Bjarke and Kerstin  Introduction  Horsens Fjord is an eutrophic estuary situated in east coast of Jutland, Denmark with approximately 46 km2  surface area. The Fjord is a part of bigger WFD catchments area with dominated agriculture area and small  forest, wetlands, lakes, and urban /media/loftslag/Group2-report.pdf

• 20. Daniell_etal-2010

  and evaluating impacts (see also Swallow et al. 2001, van Ast and Boot 2003). METHODS AND DATA This article is based on empirical data that originated from the analysis of the participatory exercise in the Dhuenn basin. The strong involvement of researchers from two research projects (NeWater[1] and ACER[2]) linked by a joint case study led to the variety of sources available for exploration, including /media/loftslag/Daniell_etal-2010.pdf