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• 11. Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1

  of complex interdependencies, the effort to solve one aspect may create other problems. Complex problem: A problem with many relationships between parts that give rise to collective behaviour of the system. Complex system approach A broad term encompassing a research approach to problems in many diverse disciplines including computer science, AI, biology, sociology, etc. Common elements /media/loftslag/Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1.pdf

• 12. Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS

  The advantage of Monte Carlo analysis is its general appli- cability and that it does not impose many assumptions on prob- ability distributions and correlations and that it can be linked to any model code. The key limitation is the large run times for computationally intensive models and the huge amount of outputs that are not always straightforward to analyse. 4.8. Multiple model simulation Multiple model /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf

• 13. Perrels-CBA

  / design, availability, materials, ICT, modal split) 26.8.2011Adriaan Perrels/IL 5 Categorising stages of adaptation Passive Adaptation - automatic in nature and economy - only ex post measures (no anticipation) Active Adaptation - automatic in nature and economy - ex ante and ex post policies Emission scenario dependent baseline (A1-T, B1, A2, etc.) Reference costs and benefits /media/loftslag/Perrels-CBA.pdf

• 14. Group3-The-future-of-the-Finnish-national-road-network

  ) Best case (1.5 C increase; 2% increase in prec) BAU A B Change +30 % C D Scenario combination Impact Adaptation measures North South North South A * CC: Possible increase in the amount of snow  more snow clearing  increase in operational costs S-E: increase in traffic volume  increased wear of roads  increase in maintenance cost. ** CC: Possibly less snow, more rain /media/loftslag/Group3-The-future-of-the-Finnish-national-road-network.pdf

• 15. norsem_atakan_norway

  utilization of all available solid Earth observational data through a single e-infrastructure. Currently, a list of data, data products, software and services (DDSS) is being prepared. These will be integrated in to the EPOS-N data/web-portal, which will allow users to browse, select and download relevant data for solid Earth science research. In addition, advanced visualization /media/norsem/norsem_atakan_norway.pdf

• 16. Economics of hazards

  policies/procedures in case of extreme weather events 9 June, 10-12 am Government Institute for Economic Research (VATT) Adriaan Perrels: Introduction - Extreme events vs. other climate change effects; economic assessment of extreme events in Finland Kevin Simmons: Effectiveness of building codes versus effectiveness of real estate markets to convey extreme event related risk information /nonam/events/nr/1930

• 17. RaisanenJouni_CES_2010

  not representative of present or future climate conditions? Winter mean T in Helsinki (1961-2008) 1961- 20081961- 1990 Temperature (°C) P r o b a b i l i t y d e n s i t y -12 4 Simplest case: change in mean climate, with no change in the magnitude of variability If variability changes as well, the two tails of the distribution (e.g., warm and cold) will be affected differently. IPCC (2001 /media/ces/RaisanenJouni_CES_2010.pdf

• 18. Terms and conditions

  no authorisation is given to change data or any other information available from this web-site, unless the source and modification is stated clearly. (i.e., a description of data sourced from IMO and the subsequent changes made by others.) The Icelandic Met Office's website does not collect personally identifiable data about users. Web traffic on en.vedur.is is measured by Google Analytics, Siteimprove /about-imo/the-web/conditions

• 19. Funded MS student opportunity. Dust and ash re-suspension sources

  Formulating source term for dust and ash re-suspension for the NAME model. The MS student will work on the implementation of an emission scheme particularly apt for Icelandic land coverage and climate, and to validate the code using a past event. The MS student will:Formulate code; working on selected test cases.Do backward numerical runs for quantifying the temporal changes of areal source /about-imo/news/funded-ms-student-opportunity-dust-and-ash-re-suspension-sources-in-emission-models

• 20. Terms and conditions

  no authorisation is given to change data or any other information available from this web-site, unless the source and modification is stated clearly. (i.e., a description of data sourced from IMO and the subsequent changes made by others.) The Icelandic Met Office's website does not collect personally identifiable data about users. Web traffic on en.vedur.is is measured by Google Analytics, Siteimprove /about-imo/the-web/conditions/