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• 11. Group5-Milestones

  is the integrated knowledge? o o What are the expected main climate change effects for this case? o 2. Uncertainty and ambiguity o What are the main uncertainties on climate change effects? The climate itself is unpredictable, this is the inherent uncertainty. The models applied to predict climate changes are uncertain due to lack of data etc. (see the knowledge gap) Also /media/loftslag/Group5-Milestones.pdf

• 12. CASE_B__Heikki_Tuomenvirta_(FMI)_Introduction

  of climate change on the routine and periodic maintenance of roads. Helsinki 2009. Finnish Road Administration, Central Administration. Finnra reports 8/2009, 66 p. + app. 8 p. ISSN 1459-1553, ISBN 978-952-221-172-9, TIEH 3201122-v. (in Finnish, abstract in English) [5] Salanne, i., Byring, B., Valli, R., Tikkanen, R., Peltonen, P., Haapala, J., Jylhä, K., Tolonen-Kivimäki, O., and Tuomenvirta, H /media/loftslag/CASE_B__Heikki_Tuomenvirta_(FMI)_Introduction.pdf

• 13. IPPC-2007-ar4_syr

  Approximate CO2-eq concentrations corresponding to the computed radiative forcing due to anthropogenic GHGs and aerosols in 2100 (see p. 823 of the WGI TAR) for the SRES B1, AIT, B2, A1B, A2 and A1FI illustrative marker scenarios are about 600, 700, 800, 850, 1250 and 1550ppm, respectively. d) Temperature changes are expressed as the difference from the period 1980-1999. To express the change relative /media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf

• 14. Eriksson_2-Acceptability-of-policy

  (Stern, 2002) 4 5 (1) Concepts • Acceptability - attitude toward policy (e.g., Schade, 2003). Salient beliefs attitudes (Eagly & Chaiken, 1993). • Acceptability (before implementation) versus acceptance (after implementation) (Gärling et al. 2008) • Attitude (acceptability/acceptance) versus behaviour (Eagly & Chaiken, 1993) (2) Factors important for acceptability • Acceptability /media/loftslag/Eriksson_2-Acceptability-of-policy.pdf

• 15. Group2-report

  1    Adaptive management to climate change in Horsens Fjord using scenario  development    Report by Maria, Azhar, Bjarke and Kerstin  Introduction  Horsens Fjord is an eutrophic estuary situated in east coast of Jutland, Denmark with approximately 46 km2  surface area. The Fjord is a part of bigger WFD catchments area with dominated agriculture area and small  forest, wetlands, lakes, and urban /media/loftslag/Group2-report.pdf

• 16. Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation

  The Economic and Societal Impacts of Tornadoes Kevin M. Simmons Austin College Fulbright Research Scholar International Centre for GeoHazards Oslo, Norway Economic and Societal Impacts of Tornadoes By Kevin M. Simmons and Daniel Sutter © 2010, 296 pages in paperback ISBN: 978-1-878220-99-8 AVAILABLE NOVEMBER 2010 from the American Meteorological Society and the University of Chicago Press /media/loftslag/Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation.pdf

• 17. Group3-Road-scenarios

  but the uncertainty range is large. We are looking two cases: worst case (+4 C degrees increase) and best case (1.5 C increase). Increase in prec: more rain in the winter Decrease in the predictability of weather Natural variability ii. Socioeconomics a. Change in traffic volume b. BAU  Ten-year time steps  National main roads  Geographic area: The whole country Fig. 3 /media/loftslag/Group3-Road-scenarios.pdf

• 18. Information and help

  An avalanche problem can be connected to elevation above or below a certain level. The border of the elevation band is defined in each bulletin. An avalanche problem can, thus be mostly existent above 800 m a.s.l. or below 500 m a.s.l. In some cases an avalanche problem is believed to be existent at all elevation levels from sea level to the highest mountain peaks. As before, it is pointed out where /avalanches/forecast/help

• 19. ces-oslo2010_proceedings

  change over the North Atlantic and in some simulations also for Iceland. In all areas, including the North Atlantic and Iceland, a clear climate change signal compared to the spread between the simulations is seen. The standard deviation calculated from 17 of the simulations are less than 1°C in all areas apart from Iceland where it reaches between 1 and 2°C and in parts of the Barents Sea where /media/ces/ces-oslo2010_proceedings.pdf

• 20. Horsens_case

  lying areas in the City is illustrated for present climate in Figure 5. It is expected that the future water level of the Horsens fiord will increase by 1 meter by the end of this century. Station 270045: Upstream Lake Nørrestrand 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month M ea n d is ch ar g e (m 3 / s) Present: Mean A2: Mean Station 280001: Upstream Bygholm Lake 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 /media/loftslag/Horsens_case.pdf