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  • 11. Kok_JGEC658_2009

    as an addition to the current scenario development methodology;  to link Fuzzy Cognitive Maps to the concept of resilience, thus substantiating a major potential strength;  to critically evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps in the context of developing scenarios. 2. Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping 2.1. System dynamics System dynamics is an umbrella term for all approaches aiming /media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf
  • 12. Group5-Milestones

    1 Stakeholders involvement – Milestones (as OVIs*) Phases Duration (months) OVIs Problem identification 2 All Stakeholders identified and selected within 2 months Information provision 2 Kick-off meeting held Knowledge gathering 6 E.g. 80% questionnaires to public returned and processed at the end of the phase Initial proposal 12 Catalogue of measures Testing & revision 12 /media/loftslag/Group5-Milestones.pdf
  • 13. Eriksson_2-Acceptability-of-policy

    ) Elaboration Likelihood Model of Persuasion (ELM) • Attitudes can be influenced in two ways: 1. Systematic elaboration (the central route) 2. Less elaborate processing (peripheral route) Petty & Cacioppo et al. (1981,1986) Less elaborate processing • Is when the individual mostly consider external cues related to the source, the message and the audience • Classic conditioning, mere exposure /media/loftslag/Eriksson_2-Acceptability-of-policy.pdf
  • 14. Group3-Road-scenarios

    The future of the Finnish national road network under changing climate Introduction National road network is an essential infrastructure for the society. The road network needs to be maintained on regular basis for optimal service. Weather and its variability affect the quality and sustainability of road durability in many ways. Climate change is expected to exacerbate the impacts /media/loftslag/Group3-Road-scenarios.pdf
  • 15. CASE_B__Heikki_Tuomenvirta_(FMI)_Introduction

    repair and/or modernisation. According to Statistics Finland, road traffic volume in Finland is estimated to increase by a factor of 1.25 between 2006 and 2030 [2]. The population will continue to increase at least until 2040, whereas also urban sprawl and private car ownership will abound. Consequently, the growth in transport performance is also expected to continue until 2050, despite /media/loftslag/CASE_B__Heikki_Tuomenvirta_(FMI)_Introduction.pdf
  • 16. Group2-report

      Society 2  Society 3  4    In the first case the society is conservative and prefers traditional solutions to problems. People are not  willing to accept policies that might change their lifestyle significantly. By contrast the second set of socio  economic conditions describes a society which is very flexible, meaning that both society and different  sectors are willing to explore new ways to adapt /media/loftslag/Group2-report.pdf
  • 17. IPPC-2007-ar4_syr

    Assessment Re- port (AR4). Topic 1 summarises observed changes in climate and their ef- fects on natural and human systems, regardless of their causes, while Topic 2 assesses the causes of the observed changes. Topic 3 pre- sents projections of future climate change and related impacts un- der different scenarios. Topic 4 discusses adaptation and mitigation options over the next few decades /media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf
  • 18. Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation

    tornadoes rated F4 or F5 • 1,288 killer tornadoes, 4,860 fatalities • 6,574 injury tornadoes, 82,062 injuries • Most tornadoes aren’t killers: 228 tornadoes had 5+ fatalities (.045% of tornadoes), account for 66% of fatalities Casualties and F-scale Tornadoes by F-Scale 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 0 1 2 3 4 5 F-Scale Category Casualties and F-scale Fatalities by F-Scale 30.00 /media/loftslag/Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation.pdf
  • 19. Information and help

    is moderately to poorly bonded on many steep slopes*. Triggering is possible, even from low additional loads** particularly on the indicated steep slopes*. In some cases medium-sized, in isolated cases large-sized natural avalanches are possible. 2 - Moderate The snowpack is only moderately well bonded on some steep slopes* otherwise well bonded in general. Triggering is possible primarily /avalanches/forecast/help
  • 20. Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160

    Copyright © 2011 by the author(s). Published here under license by the Resilience Alliance. Kok, K., and T. (A.) Veldkamp. 2011. Scale and governance: conceptual considerations and practical implications. Ecology and Society 16(2): 23. [online] URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol16/iss2/ art23/ Guest Editorial, part of a Special Feature on Scale and Governance Scale and Governance /media/loftslag/Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160.pdf

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