and sustainable society. The main vision of the European Plate
Observing System (EPOS) is to address the three basic challenges in Earth Sciences: (i) unravelling the
Earth's deformational processes which are part of the Earth system evolution in time, (ii) understanding
the geo-hazards and their implications to society, and (iii) contributing to the safe and sustainable use
of geo-resources
/media/norsem/norsem_atakan_ip.pdf
– Interview with Danish Energy Association
• Multi criteria analysis
– Well suited to initial identification of
consequences of risk elements
– Identifies most important risk elements for
further analysis
Multi criteria analysis
• Based on two elements
i. Priority criteria for assessment
ii. A character scale given to each risk factors
influence on the priority criteria
Priority criteria
/media/ces/James-Smith_Edward_CES_2010.pdf
of the chapters can be downloaded or short summaries read.Downloadable material:Full text (pdf 23 Mb)Front matter (pdf 180 Kb)Table of contents (pdf 7.9 Kb)Chapter I. Volcanogenic floods in Iceland: An exploration of hazards and risks (pdf 1.06 Mb)Pages 7–16Emmanuel Pagneux, Sigrún Karlsdóttir, Magnús T. Gudmundsson, Matthew J. Roberts og Víðir ReynissonShort summaryChapter II. Öræfajökull Volcano
/volcanoes/about-volcanoes/oraefajokull/new-research/
-2008 (or 1991-2008), (ii) the magnitude of warming
from 1961-2008 to 2010 as derived from the model simulations, and (iii) the magnitude of
interannual variability. A particularly high probability of warm months, locally up to 90%, is
calculated for southern Europe in summer. There, the warming of summers in model
simulations of greenhouse-gas-induced climate change is quite strong (Figure A2.1
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_task1.pdf
It is important to describe the surface, and its properties, as well as possible. To do this SURFEX uses elevation data (from the GTOPO3 database of USGS), data on sand- and clay fraction in soil (from the HWSD database of FAO) and data on land surface parameters (from the ECOCLIMAP-II).
SURFEX
Figure 1. The processes simulated with the model SURFEX (from the SURFEX website).
The current set-up
/weather/articles/nr/3232
at the
ENSEMBLES data base !
2) A subset sampling as large
uncertainty as possible
3) A smaller subset consisting
of:
i) DMI - HIRHAM forced
with ECHAM5
ii) Met.No – HIRHAM
forced with HadCM3ref
(Delivery in summer)
iii) SMHI – RCA3 forced
with BCM
(rationale: as many
forcing AOGCMs as
possible)
S. Pryor
ECHAM5REMOMPI-M15
HadCM3Q16 (high)HadRM3Q16Hadley Centre14
HadCM3Q3 (low)HadRM3Q3Hadley
/media/ces/Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010.pdf
of adaptation planning
o What participatory methods are being used with the different types of stakeholder in the stakeholder process, and for what purpose?
o
o Stakeholder analyses and role of authorities
o Overall process time schedule
i. How long will the different parts of the stakeholder process last? Max 3 years recurring
ii. How will you encourage the same stakeholders to keep
/media/loftslag/Group5-Milestones.pdf