Capacity (A)
F
r
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q
u
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n
c
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control
future
+0.4std dev (as % of
mean)
-0.68max
-8.32min
-1.74mean
% change
June 2010 15
Time series
450
500
550
600
650
700
Hour
C
a
p
a
c
i
t
y
(
A
)
Typical year of control period
Seasonal average rating
Calculated capacity
450
500
550
600
650
700
Hour
C
a
p
a
c
i
t
y
(
A
)
Typical year under future scenario
Calculated capacity
Seasonal average
/media/ces/Cradden_Lucy_CES_2010.pdf
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/media/loftslag/Outline_for_the_case_Road_maintenance_in_a_changing_climate.pdf
: 3601/B2007.EEA53004 and 3601/RO/CLC/
B2007.EEA52971, Landmælingar Íslands, Reykjavik, Iceland.
Bechtold, P., Köhler, M., Jung, T., Doblas-Reyes, F., Leutbecher, M., Rodwell, M. J., Vitart, F.,
and Balsamo, G. (2008). Advances in simulating atmospheric variability with the ECMWF
model: from synoptic to decadal time-scales. Q. J. R. Meterol. Soc., 134:1337–1351.
Brousseau, P., Berre, L., Bouttier
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_005.pdf
model grid point must be taken into account. At latitude f , the grid-box
size is given by
dA = a2 cosf dldf ; (1)
where a = 6371 km is the Earth’s mean radius, and latitude and longitude are measured in
radians. For the ECMWF reanalyses, angular grid-point spacing dl = df = p=180 is constant
across the domain. The low-pressure centre count at each grid point is then multiplied by dA=dA,
with mean
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_005.pdf
NKG2016LU_lev (Lantmäteriet, n.d.(b)). UK: Based on CGPS data, modified from figure 1b p. 16
in Bradley et al. (2009). Iceland: Based on 1993 - 2004 GPS data, modified from figure 5.18, p. 101
in Björnsson et al. (2018).
15
are ongoing isostatic changes in Iceland. The vertical motion of the Icelandic crust is very region
specific with the fastest uplift in the Southeast close to the largest
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_005.pdf
by selecting the discharge observed T days after the day
corresponding to each selected analogue:
Q(i; t+T ) = Q(ui+T ) (6)
with T =1, 2 or 3 and ui is the date of the ith analogue. A 100(1 p)% confidence interval
was constructed from this ensemble, from the quantiles corresponding to the non-exceedence
probabilities p=2 and 1 p=2: [Qp=2;Q(1 p=2)].
4.4 Rescaling
A limitation of the method
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf
Refsgaard a,*, Jeroen P. v
Peter A. Vanroll
a Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenlan
b Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation
Utrecht University, Utrecht
c
Environmental Modelling & Softwar
equitable manner without compromising the sustainability of
* Corresponding author. Tel.: þ45 38 142 776; fax: þ45 38 142 050.
E-mail address: jcr@geus.dk (J.C. Refsgaard).
1364-8152
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf
(Percent) By
Year Built Categories
Percent of Homes Damaged By Year Built
Categories
36
24
26
28
30
32
34
Pre 1980 80-96 97-2002 Post 2002
Percent Damaged
All Homes – Damage Per Square
Foot
All Homes - Damage Per Square Foot
2
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F
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Pre 1980
1980-1996
1997-2002
Post 2002
/media/loftslag/FMI_-_Disaster_Mitigation.pdf
(-33%) during 1970 to 2004 has been smaller than the com-
bined effect of global income growth (77%) and global population
growth (69%); both drivers of increasing energy-related CO2 emis-
sions. The long-term trend of declining CO2 emissions per unit of en-
ergy supplied reversed after 2000. {WGIII 1.3, Figure SPM.2, SPM}
Differences in per capita income, per capita emissions and
energy
/media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf
support
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/media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf