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• 21. Climate and Modeling Scenarios

  & Ruosteenoja, K. (2009). Comparing regional risks in producing turnip rape and oilseed rape - Impacts of climate change and breeding. Acta agriculturae Scandinavica 59B:2, 129-138. doi:10.1080/09064710802022895 (http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/tandf/sagb/2009/00000059/00000002/art00004). Pryor, S.C., Barthelmie, R.J., Clausen, N.E., Drews, M., MacKellar, N. & Kjellström, E. (2010). Analyses /ces/publications/nr/1680

• 22. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

  extreem events C6; qual nat. systems C7; policies C8; price of resources C9; other sectors C10; industry C11; inrastructure Crimea - Ukraine Manaus - Brazil From FCM to model input FCM – strong points • Easy to develop and apply. The approach is highly intuitive, it can quickly be explained and applied to any new situation. • High level of integration. A FCM can contain any type of information /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf

• 23. Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011

  ]. There is ample experience with backcasting, and consequently much has been said about the underlying principles (e.g. [20]), the methodological 838 K. Kok et al. / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 78 (2011) 835–851 Author's personal copy framework (e.g. [8,30–32]), and practical applications (e.g. [33–35]). Also the combination between backcasting and other types of scenarios has been /media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf

• 24. Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change

  can be found in Huntjens et al. (2007), Chapter 4 of NeWater Deliverable 1.7.9a (http://www.newater.info). Climate change adaptation in European river basins 265 123 interactions, by private and public actors, to achieve adaptation and to enhance the capacity of processes, institutional arrangements and actors to adapt to future environmental changes (Huitema et al. 2009). Adaptive governance /media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf

• 25. VI_2020_005

  and CNES, n.d.; National Center for Atmospheric Research Staff, 2016; Quante and Colijn, 2016). Now, additional altimeters at different orbits perform slightly less accurate measurements up to 82 N and S (Rhein et al., 2013). These records are used to estimate sea surface changes and calculate global mean sea level, a temporal average sea level averaged over the oceans (Church, Clark, et al., 2013 /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_005.pdf

• 26. Kok_JGEC658_2009

  and that paving major roads will lead to deforestation. C3: Conservation units. A large percentage of the Amazon (close to 33%) is classified as some kind of protected area. This includes indigenous reserves, federal parks and national parks. Only about 5% is strictly protected, although it is argued that ‘paper parks’ can also be effective. C4: Forest accessibility. The amount of forest /media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf

• 27. Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons

  The well-being of any human community is critically dependent on continued access to natural and man-made resources. Decades before sustainability became a popular slogan, the Ostroms began to investigate the conditions under which natural resources can be man- aged in a sustainable manner. The origins of the Workshop approach can be traced back at least as far as “State Administration of Natural /media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons.pdf

• 28. Public-Choice-2012---Teyssier---Inequity-and-risk-aversion-in-sequential-public-good-games

  individuals act like homo-œconomicus agents (see for example Andreoni 1988; Berg et al. 1995; Camerer 2003; Forsythe et al. 1994; Isaac et al. 1984). Recent developments in public-choice theory have taken a behavioral approach to broaden the analysis of collective action. The introduction of social preferences, such as altruism, inequity aversion or trust, may mean that optimal collective choices /media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---Teyssier---Inequity-and-risk-aversion-in-sequential-public-good-games.pdf

• 29. Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling

  are labelled according to the geographical area of application. Examples such as Zürich and Hase II have already been reviewed and categorized in Hare et al. (2003) and Bots and van Daalen (2008), respectively. The entire Iskar process, of which Iskar (Phase I) is a part, has been categorized by Barreteau et al. (2010). All are included in this review to provide alternative analytical perspectives /media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf

• 30. Lorenzoni_Pidgeon_2006

  for people to conceptualise and to relate to their daily activities, arguably because it cannot be easily translated into the language of popular culture (Ungar, 2000; see also mental models of cli- mate change by Bostrom et al., 1994; Kempton, 1997; discussed later). Secondly, the various datasets available detailing public opinions and attitudes on climate PUBLIC VIEWS ON CLIMATE CHANGE: EUROPEAN /media/loftslag/Lorenzoni_Pidgeon_2006.pdf