scenario
development, with an example from Brazil
Kasper Kok *
Land Dynamics, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, P.O. Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
1. Introduction
The world is undergoing rapid changes while globalising
constantly, which gives the consideration of the future new
urgency and importance. Scenario development has emerged as a
key method when taking
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Assessment Re-
port (AR4).
Topic 1 summarises observed changes in climate and their ef-
fects on natural and human systems, regardless of their causes, while
Topic 2 assesses the causes of the observed changes. Topic 3 pre-
sents projections of future climate change and related impacts un-
der different scenarios.
Topic 4 discusses adaptation and mitigation options over the
next few decades
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sides of the main debris flow paths. Point protection of individual buildings, in
particular some of the more important industrial buildings below Þófi, should also be
considered.
Contents
1 Introduction ................................................................................................ 9
2 Site description and geological setting
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