ith a broke
ere correc
a arose wh
peratures
ures were a
le 4 and Fi
Jökulsá wat
most prono
lace in war
vation grad
ause the ad
hold. Adde
uch less pr
1–2005.
Win Sum
-3.1 7.1
-4.1 6.6
1.0 0.5
ndá í Þist
n red curv
ted to fit th
en calibrat
to the inter
lso system
gure 6.
ershed (see
unced for t
m events a
ient for th
dition of a
d unrealis
onounced t
Year
1.1
0.5
0.6
ilfirði
e
/media/ces/2010_017.pdf
BCM,
Arpège, HadCM3). In case of HadCM3 there are two additional versions with perturbed
physics, apart from the reference version, thus making the total number of GCMs six.
DJF JJA
T
emp
eratu
re
Pr
ec
ip
ita
tio
n
Figure 1. Ensemble mean change in seasonal mean temperature (upper) and precipitation
(lower) for winter (DJF, left) and summer (JJA, right). Changes are given
/media/ces/ces-oslo2010_proceedings.pdf