of Akureyri
Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Iceland
KAUST, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology
Húsavík Academic Center
Icelandic Meteorological Office
Earthquake Engineering Research Centre, University of Iceland
Civil Protection Department, National Commisioner of the Icelandic Police
Iceland Catastrophe Insurance
Husavik Academic centre
Ministry of the Interior/about-imo/news/nr/2701
-time and
detects signal characteristics similar to previously observed eruptions using a three-fold
detection procedure based on: 1) an amplitude threshold; 2) the signal-to-noise ratio; and 3) an
emergent ramp-like shape. Data from six Icelandic eruptions was used to assess and tune the
module, which can provide 10–15 minutes of warning for Hekla up to over two hours of
warning for some other
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2021/VI_2021_008.pdf
m
J
M5 [C°] -3
obs. [C°] -4
nce 1
re 5. Comp
26); an int
temperatu
this system
y gridded v
picion abo
-Jökulsá w
similar dif
han observ
h elevation
ces the effe
months No
ly only on
high the tem
n band wi
refore be s
onthly tem
an Feb Ma
.2 -3.1 -3.
.3 -4.1 -3.
.1 1.0 0.6
arison of m
erpolation
re is shown
atic differe
alues, see T
ut the qual
atershed; b
ference wa
ations for t
gradient fo
/media/ces/2010_017.pdf
communication). The HIRHAM4 model run reaches from
1950–2100 and incorporates Greenland at a resolution of approx. 25km. Ahlstrøm et al. (2008a)
have analyzed its bias in air temperature and precipitation over the ice sheet at Paakitsôq,
Aðalgeirsdóttir et al. (2009) compared those two parameters to a larger number of weather
stations over Greenland.
3 Methods
3.1 Mass Balance Modeling
/media/ces/ces_geus_paakitsoq_full_report.pdf
an over-
all picture (67 sites of varying runoff area sizes) of the changes in
floods by 2010–2039 and 2070–2099 using conceptual hydrologi-
cal modelling and several climate scenarios and (2) estimating
the consequent changes in flood inundation at four selected settle-
ments using 2D hydraulic modelling. A further goal is (3) to outline
climate change effects regionally as well as in different types
/media/ces/Journal_of_Hydrology_Veijalainen_etal.pdf
is located in the interior of the region and is 50% glaciated. For sake
of simplicity, it was decided to form one single candidate region with all catchments, according
to the cluster analysis. Table 2 presents the homogeneous groups of catchments obtained with
the ROI technique, associated to each target catchment. The catchments are ordered from most
similar to least similar.
15
0 100 200 300
0
1
2
3
4
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_007.pdf
-based and 10 based on IPCC GCM
simulations. The choice of the GCM models was based on their SAT
performance for the present-day climate near Iceland as mentioned above.
2. For GCM-based scenarios, temperature change in the highland interior of
Iceland, where the large ice caps are located, were increased by 25% based on
the results of RCM downscaling (Nawri & Björnsson, 2010).
3. Expected
/media/ces/2010_016.pdf