Horst Machguth, Andreas Ahlstrøhm,
GEUS, Copenhagen
Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice
Sheet in the Paakitsoq Area, Illulisat, West
Greenland - Scenarios and Related Uncertainties
2 / 16
previous work
A. P. Ahlstrøm
Paakitsup Akuliarusersua
(Paakitsoq)
Thomsen & Olesen
(1990)
2 / 16
previous work
Paakitsup Akuliarusersua
(Paakitsoq)
Thomsen (1989)
Thomsen & Olesen (1991)
glacial
/media/ces/Machguth_Horst_CES_2010.pdf
of uncertainty (statistical uncertainty, scenario
uncertainty, qualitative uncertainty, recognised ignorance and total ignorance) as well as the nature
of uncertainy (epistemic and onthological uncertainty). Finally, the presentation will briefly
introduce different types of methodologies for uncertainty characterisation and assessment.
References:
Walker WE, Harremoës P, Rotmans J, Van der Sluijs
/media/loftslag/Jens_Christian_Refsgaard_(GEUS,_Dk).pdf
to be simple and therefore has important drawbacks.
Future improvements should be made in the light of applications within a larger toolbox of scenario
methods.
2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
* Tel.: +31 317 482422; fax: +31 317 419000.
E-mail address: kasper.kok@wur.nl.
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Global Environmental Change
journa l homepage: www.e lsev ier .com/ locate
/media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf
and our intention is to run these models dur-
ing times of hazardous events and even on a daily
basis to further improve monitoring.
Avalanche monitoring has progressed. The em-
phasis is now on improving our services, especially
to the Icelandic Road and Coastal Administration
with regard to transport. The reason is that com-
munity structure has changed considerably in recent
years and the need
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/arsskyrslur/VED_AnnualReport-2013_screen.pdf
level in Skeidará waned. The last sign of a
crater explosion was seen at GRF early on 6
November, leaving only a weak tremor signal
from the remnants of the jökulhlaup. The
jökulhlaup fi nally ended in early December,
after ~0.8 km3 of water had drained from the
Grímsvötn lake (J. Hardardóttir, personal com-
munication, 2005).
Location and Volume Constraints
Earthquake locations at Grímsvötn
/media/jar/myndsafn/2005EO260001.pdf
will review a set of stakeholder involvement and
decision making issues with the above outline as backdrop.
References:
[1] Marttila, V., Granholm, H., Laanikari, J., Yrjölä, T., Aalto, A., Heikinheimo, P., Honkatukia, J., Järvinen,
H., Liski, J., Merivirta, R. & Paunio, M. 2005. Finland’s National Strategy for Adaptation to Climate Change.
MMM Publication 1a/2005. 276 pp.
[2] Kokkarianen, V
/media/loftslag/CASE_B__Heikki_Tuomenvirta_(FMI)_Introduction.pdf
Spatial perception of flood hazard in the urban area of Selfoss
Emmanuel P. Pagneux 1, 2
1 Icelandic Meteorological Office
Grensásvegur 9 – 108 Reykjavík – ICELAND
2 Department of Geography and Tourism
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences / School of Engineering and Sciences
University of Iceland
Aska, Sturlugata 7 – 101 Reykjavík – ICELAND
Email: emmanuel@vedur.is
/media/loftslag/Spatial_perception_of_flood_hazard_in_the_urban_area_of_Selfoss,_Iceland.pdf
this in a real planning process
• Robust measures
• Uncertainties
• Synergies and tradeoffs
Thank you
References
• Pictures in order of occurence:
• http://www.ecoboot.nl/ecoboot_new/?p=351
• http://www.edie.net/products/view_entry.asp?id=4984&channel=0&title=Flood+P
rotection+and+Flow+Control+Specialists
• http://progressivetimes.wordpress.com/2011/02/10/indoor-farming-may-be-
organics
/media/loftslag/Group2-PresentationWithPictures[1].pdf
) and changing climate (CC:CC)
1. Current climate (CU)
- varying thinning regimes
(0%, 15%, 30%,45%)
2. Changing climate (CC)
- varying thinning regimes
(0%, 15%, 30%,45%)
3. Current (CU) &
changing climate (CC)
- current thinning regime
4. Current (CU) &
changing climate (CC)
- changed thinning regimes
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p/media/ces/CES_BioFuels_Flyer_new.pdf