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Results:

• 31. Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS

  on the quantity at hand (strengths and weaknesses in Box 1. The error propagation equation The error propagation equations for the most common operators are (s is the standard deviation): Addition and Subtraction: z ¼ x þ yþ/ or z ¼ x  y/ sz ¼ ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi s2x  þ  s2y  þ/ r Multiplication by an exact number: z /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf

• 32. Vertical displacement in the Bárðarbunga caldera

  and the Icelandic Coast Guard, see disclaimer. The vertical displacement (m) was monitored by near real time presentation of data from a GPS station, mounted in the middle of the caldera. The elevation above sea level, top left, refers to the zero value on the y-axis, while such value top right shows the current position of the station (m a.s.l.). The upper graph shows the first two weeks, 12 - 25 /earthquakes-and-volcanism/gps-measurements/bardarbunga/caldera/

• 33. Bárðarbunga - decay of seismic activity

  that the plot is logarithmic, one tick on the y-scale corresponds to a factor of 10. Further, the general trend of the curve should be interpreted, and not single points, as they might be outliers. In both clusters, the moment release was largest shortly before the onset of the fissure eruption in Holuhraun and has decayed ever since. Seismic activity on the caldera rim has constantly decreased /earthquakes-and-volcanism/articles/nr/3083

• 34. Vertical displacement in the Bárðarbunga caldera

  and the Icelandic Coast Guard, see disclaimer. The vertical displacement (m) was monitored by near real time presentation of data from a GPS station, mounted in the middle of the caldera. The elevation above sea level, top left, refers to the zero value on the y-axis, while such value top right shows the current position of the station (m a.s.l.). The upper graph shows the first two weeks, 12 - 25 /earthquakes-and-volcanism/gps-measurements/bardarbunga/caldera

• 35. Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation

  fatalities occurred in mobile homes, although only 7.6% of U.S. housing units in 2000. • A one standard deviation in the proportion of mobile homes in housing stock (8.3 percentage points) increases fatalities by 36% and injuries by 18%. The Mobile Home Problem 50 60 70 80 90 P e r c e n t a g e o f C a t e g o r y F a t a l i t i e s Mobile Homes 0 10 20 30 40 F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F /media/loftslag/Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation.pdf

• 36. CES_BioFuels_Flyer_new

  a r a m e t e r s T e m p e r a t u r e co n d i t i o n s M o i s t u r e co n d i t i o n s T e m p e r a t u r e a n d p r e c i p i t a t i o n M o n t h l y s t a t i s t i c s De c o m p o s i t i o n L i t t e r , h u m u s and dead trees Tree population Species composition, age and size distribution, growth rate of different species Potential growth /media/ces/CES_BioFuels_Flyer_new.pdf

• 37. Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010

  ECHAM4/OPYC3 NorClim/HIRHAM 25x25 km 'Empirical Adjustment' to 1 x 1 km 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 1 10 100 1000 Return period (years) P e a k d a i l y d i s c h a r g e ( m 3 / s ) 1981-2010 GEV from annual max series 2021-2050 GEV from annual max series 2021 - 2050 Annual maximum series 1981 - 2010 Annual maximum series 1981-2010 200-year flood 2021 /media/ces/Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010.pdf

• 38. Outline_for_the_case_Road_maintenance_in_a_changing_climate

  o t o - a g e n d a D e f i n e a n d i n v i t e s t a k e h o l d e r s T e c h n i c a l i n p u t a n d v i s i o n s - I n t e r n a l e x p e r t s - s t a k e h o l d e r e x p e r t s F r am e p r o b l e m - t r p s e r v i c e ( q u a l i t y ) l e v e l s - t y p e s o f s c e n a r i o s A n a l y z e p r o b l e m T e c h n i c a l i n p u t f r /media/loftslag/Outline_for_the_case_Road_maintenance_in_a_changing_climate.pdf

• 39. VI2010-006_web

  /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2010/VI2010-006_web.pdf

• 40. Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1

  .. But with caution Spatial scale Modifiable Areal Unit Problem (MAUP) Ecological fallacy: The mistake of assuming that where relationships are found among aggregate data, these relationships will also be found among individuals or households, or vice versa. Key concepts (from ecology) Forest cover Population density y = -20.1Ln(x) + 60 R2 = 0.84 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 5 10 15 Population density F o re /media/loftslag/Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1.pdf