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Results:

41. PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final

Christian Refsgaard, GEUS All week AP Adriaan Perrels, FMI All week SK Sigrún Karsldóttir, IMO All week FU Frederik Uldal, University of Copenhagen Logistic support Course material Papers and book chapters - recommended reading Henriksen HJ, Barlebo HC (2008) Reflections on the use of Bayesian belief networks for adaptive management. Journal of Environmental Management, 88, 1025- 1036. doi:10.1016 /media/vedurstofan/PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final.pdf
42. NOMEK09_Report

Hermannsdóttir (Media) Sveinn Brynjólfsson (Avalanche) Theodor Freyr Hervarsson (Aviation) Guðrún Nína Petersen (Forecast errors) SMHI: Andreas Carlsson (Dynamics/NWP) Anna Eronn (Satellite) met.no: Bjørn Røsting (Dynamics) FMI: Vesa Nietosvaara (Online sessions and website) Elena Saltikoff (Radar-distans teaching) DMI: Claus Petersen (Slippery Roads) EUMETSAT: Jochen Kerkmann (Satellite /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/NOMEK09_Report.pdf
43. Climate and Modeling Scenarios

& Ruosteenoja, K. (2009). Comparing regional risks in producing turnip rape and oilseed rape - Impacts of climate change and breeding. Acta agriculturae Scandinavica 59B:2, 129-138. doi:10.1080/09064710802022895 (http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/tandf/sagb/2009/00000059/00000002/art00004). Pryor, S.C., Barthelmie, R.J., Clausen, N.E., Drews, M., MacKellar, N. & Kjellström, E. (2010). Analyses /ces/publications/nr/1680
44. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

extreem events C6; qual nat. systems C7; policies C8; price of resources C9; other sectors C10; industry C11; inrastructure Crimea - Ukraine Manaus - Brazil From FCM to model input FCM – strong points • Easy to develop and apply. The approach is highly intuitive, it can quickly be explained and applied to any new situation. • High level of integration. A FCM can contain any type of information /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf
45. Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change

can be found in Huntjens et al. (2007), Chapter 4 of NeWater Deliverable 1.7.9a (http://www.newater.info). Climate change adaptation in European river basins 265 123 interactions, by private and public actors, to achieve adaptation and to enhance the capacity of processes, institutional arrangements and actors to adapt to future environmental changes (Huitema et al. 2009). Adaptive governance /media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf
46. Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management

the body of knowledge in any given area by mapping out cause-and-effect relationships among key variables and encoding them with numbers that represent the extent to which one variable is likely to affect another (Jensen, 2002). Factors, associations and probabilities can be adjusted and validated and BNs are powerful for integrating data and knowledge from different sources and domains, e.g /media/loftslag/Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management.pdf
47. Gudmundsson-etal-2011-PR-7282-26519-1-PB

are currently melting at a fast rate. Over recent decades, annual mass balance field observations on the three largest ice caps in Iceland* Langjo¨kull (ca. 900 km2), Hofsjo¨kull (ca. 890 km2) and Vatnajo¨kull (ca. 8100 km2)*show a declining specific mass balance from about 0 m yr1 w. eq. on average from 1980 to 1994 to 1 to 1.3 m yr1 w. eq. on average after 1995 (Bjo¨rnsson et al. 2002 /media/ces/Gudmundsson-etal-2011-PR-7282-26519-1-PB.pdf
48. Kok_JGEC658_2009

and that paving major roads will lead to deforestation. C3: Conservation units. A large percentage of the Amazon (close to 33%) is classified as some kind of protected area. This includes indigenous reserves, federal parks and national parks. Only about 5% is strictly protected, although it is argued that ‘paper parks’ can also be effective. C4: Forest accessibility. The amount of forest /media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf
49. Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons

The well-being of any human community is critically dependent on continued access to natural and man-made resources. Decades before sustainability became a popular slogan, the Ostroms began to investigate the conditions under which natural resources can be man- aged in a sustainable manner. The origins of the Workshop approach can be traced back at least as far as “State Administration of Natural /media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons.pdf
50. Publications

Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (ACIA) AMAP Report 2004:4. [Extended abstract] Snorrason, Á., & Jónsdóttir, J. F. (2004). Climate, Water and Renewable Energy in the Nordic Countries. Presented at the Joint Assembly, a partnership between CGU, AGU, SEG and EEGS, Montreal, Canada, May 17-21. [Abstract] Snorrason, Á., & Jónsdóttir, J. F. (2004). Impacts of climate change on renewable energy /climatology/research/ce/publications/