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• 41. Climate and Modeling Scenarios

  & Ruosteenoja, K. (2009). Comparing regional risks in producing turnip rape and oilseed rape - Impacts of climate change and breeding. Acta agriculturae Scandinavica 59B:2, 129-138. doi:10.1080/09064710802022895 (http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/tandf/sagb/2009/00000059/00000002/art00004). Pryor, S.C., Barthelmie, R.J., Clausen, N.E., Drews, M., MacKellar, N. & Kjellström, E. (2010). Analyses /ces/publications/nr/1680

• 42. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

  extreem events C6; qual nat. systems C7; policies C8; price of resources C9; other sectors C10; industry C11; inrastructure Crimea - Ukraine Manaus - Brazil From FCM to model input FCM – strong points • Easy to develop and apply. The approach is highly intuitive, it can quickly be explained and applied to any new situation. • High level of integration. A FCM can contain any type of information /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf

• 43. Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011

  ]. There is ample experience with backcasting, and consequently much has been said about the underlying principles (e.g. [20]), the methodological 838 K. Kok et al. / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 78 (2011) 835–851 Author's personal copy framework (e.g. [8,30–32]), and practical applications (e.g. [33–35]). Also the combination between backcasting and other types of scenarios has been /media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf

• 44. Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change

  can be found in Huntjens et al. (2007), Chapter 4 of NeWater Deliverable 1.7.9a (http://www.newater.info). Climate change adaptation in European river basins 265 123 interactions, by private and public actors, to achieve adaptation and to enhance the capacity of processes, institutional arrangements and actors to adapt to future environmental changes (Huitema et al. 2009). Adaptive governance /media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf

• 45. VI_2020_008

  by the Peak-over-Threshold with MLE applied on daily and 24-hour accumulated precipitation from the ICRA. ............................... 58 8 Glossary 1M5 – Daily or 24-hour precipitation return level with a 5-year return period AMS – Annual Maxima Series CC – Closeness Coefficient CDO – Climate Data Operator EVA – Extreme Value Analysis GP – Generalized Pareto ICRA – Icelandic /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_008.pdf

• 46. VI_2020_005

  and CNES, n.d.; National Center for Atmospheric Research Staff, 2016; Quante and Colijn, 2016). Now, additional altimeters at different orbits perform slightly less accurate measurements up to 82 N and S (Rhein et al., 2013). These records are used to estimate sea surface changes and calculate global mean sea level, a temporal average sea level averaged over the oceans (Church, Clark, et al., 2013 /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_005.pdf

• 47. Kok_JGEC658_2009

  and that paving major roads will lead to deforestation. C3: Conservation units. A large percentage of the Amazon (close to 33%) is classified as some kind of protected area. This includes indigenous reserves, federal parks and national parks. Only about 5% is strictly protected, although it is argued that ‘paper parks’ can also be effective. C4: Forest accessibility. The amount of forest /media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf

• 48. VI_2022_006_extreme

  77 91 109 Hraunaveita 132 116 136 159 117 140 169 Kvíslaveita 48 42 49 58 42 51 61 Sultartangi 66 57 68 80 58 69 84 Þingvallavatn 96 84 99 117 85 102 123 Þórisvatn 47 41 49 57 42 50 60 Tungnaá 76 67 79 92 67 80 98 Ufsarlón 104 92 108 126 93 112 134 36 Figure 19 – 1M5 maps for catchment Hálslón based on the ICRA dataset without projection (top left), with RCP 2.6 and 10th percentile /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2022/VI_2022_006_extreme.pdf

• 49. Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons

  The well-being of any human community is critically dependent on continued access to natural and man-made resources. Decades before sustainability became a popular slogan, the Ostroms began to investigate the conditions under which natural resources can be man- aged in a sustainable manner. The origins of the Workshop approach can be traced back at least as far as “State Administration of Natural /media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons.pdf

• 50. 2010_016

  the largest runoff peak of the year. Compared to the period 1961–1990, a warming of about 1°C has already been observed for both watersheds during the period 2000–2009, causing considerable discharge changes in the same direction as the predicted future changes. 8 2 Introduction Increased concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is predicted to lead to changed climate (IPCC, 2007 /media/ces/2010_016.pdf