Forecast skill evaluation over the period 01/09/2001–31/08/2005. No rescaling (Eqs. 6
and 10). All units are in m3=s
Forecast range T=1 day T=2 days T=3 days
Statistics ME RMSE Q95–Q5 ME RMSE Q95–Q5 ME RMSE Q95–Q5
vhm 64 – method 1 –20 103 302 –19
99 297 –20 103 298
vhm 64 – method 2 –11 44 132 –15 64 162 –18 87 201
vhm 64 – method 3 –24 64 206 –24 72 221 –25 87 241
vhm 64 – method 4 –16 47 132
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