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• 51. Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1

  ) Log space (meters) Plot Farm days Village Watershed Field Agroecological Zone months year century decade m 10m 1000m 100km Analogy with land use systems (according to ecologists) Ecosystem = Land use system • Both consider interactions of ‘flora’ and ‘fauna’ • Both are complex systems • Ecosystems are ‘goal free’ • Humans drive land use change /media/loftslag/Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1.pdf

• 52. Milly_etal-2008-Stationarity-dead-Science

  ). 24. M. E. Moss, Water Resour. Res. 15, 1797 (1979). 25. E. Ehrlich, B. Landy, Public Works, Public Wealth (Center for Strategic and International Studies Press, Washington, DC, 2005). 26. United Nations General Assembly, U.N. Millennium Declaration, Resolution 55/2 (2000). 10.1126/science.1151915 –40 –20 –10 –5 –2 40201052 Human influences. Dramatic changes in runoff volume from ice-free land /media/loftslag/Milly_etal-2008-Stationarity-dead-Science.pdf

• 53. VI_2020_008

  /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_008.pdf

• 54. Climatic-Change-2012---Personality-type-differences-between-Ph.D.-climate-experts-and-general-public---implications-for-communication

  ? Analytical ? Empathetic ? Need to know “why” ? Connect with people Judging - J Perceiving - P ? Prefer to make decisions quickly, come to closure and move on ? Prefer to stay open to new information and last-minute options ? Uncomfortable with free-flowing discussions ? Feel confined by detailed plans and final decisions ? Prefer focused discussion and options ? Prefer open discussion to explore /media/loftslag/Climatic-Change-2012---Personality-type-differences-between-Ph.D.-climate-experts-and-general-public---implications-for-communication.pdf

• 55. Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons

  ; Davis 1984). Finally, regulation by central authorities, ignoring internal rules and norms, is often ineffective and potentially destructive (Feeny 1988; Thomson 1977). When viewed as a problem of collective action, the theoretical prediction turns to an ex- pectation that individuals in a CPR dilemma are unlikely to solve the second-order public goods provision problem of how to solve the free /media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons.pdf

• 56. VI_arsskyrsla2020

  /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_arsskyrsla2020.pdf

• 57. Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_91

  integration. Other investigators (e.g. Giorgi and Mearns, 1999) opt for longer integration times, emphasising the importance of the model to be free to develop its own internal circulations. Liang et al. (2004) used this approach when simulating precipitation over the U.S. during 1982–2002 using the MM5-based regional climate model CMM5. Several case studies investigating orographic forcing /media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_91.pdf

• 58. VI2010-006_web

  /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2010/VI2010-006_web.pdf

• 59. Keskitalo_et_al-MLG_and_adaptation_FINAL

  /media/loftslag/Keskitalo_et_al-MLG_and_adaptation_FINAL.pdf

• 60. Daniell_etal-2010

  While Olsson et al. (2006) were looking into emergence as a form of self-organization, the Dhuenn process was deliberately created by the Trialogue team without a preceding crisis. The Dhuenn participatory exercise also offered a free space for social learning and small scale experiments, and it generated experience in processes that are crucial for adaptive management. The participatory process /media/loftslag/Daniell_etal-2010.pdf