and possibly the stake-
holders at different phases of the modelling project.
Many QA guidelines exist such as Middlemis (2000) and
Van Waveren et al. (1999). The HarmoniQuA project (Schol-
ten et al., 2007; Refsgaard et al., 2005a) has developed a com-
prehensive set of QA guidelines for multiple modelling
domains combined with a supporting software tool, MoST
(downloadable via http
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf
eruptive fissures had opened
to the south of the on-going eruption.
At 8:30, a surveillance flight with scientists from the IMO and University of Iceland
observed the following
o Two new eruptive fissures formed south of the previous eruption site in
Holuhraun, in a graben, that had formed above the intrusion, about 2km
away from Dyngjujökull.
o The eruptive fire fountains from the new
/media/jar/Factsheet-Bardarbunga-140905.pdf
(Rijsberman, 2006). Indicators which acknowl-
hypothesis exists that IWRM cannot be realised unless current management regimes undergo a transition toward adaptive management
Reflections on the use of Bayesia
adaptive managemen
Hans Jørgen Henriksen,
Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland (GEUS)
Received 19 November 2005; received in revise
Available onlin
Abstract
(2008) 1025–1036
n belief
/media/loftslag/Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management.pdf
study and location of catchments. Catchment vhm278 is embedded
within vhm148 and catchment vhm277 is embedded within vhm149.
9
l
l l l
l
l
ll
l
l
l
l
l
l l l
l
l l
l
ll l l l
l
l
l ll
l
ll
l
l l
l l
l
0 100 200 300
10
0
20
0
30
0
40
0
Day since 1st Sept.
Q
m³
/s
VHM 148
S ON D J F M A M J J A
l
l
ll l l
l
ll
l
l
l
ll
l
l
ll l
l
0 100 200 300
15
0
25
0
35
0
45
0
Day since 1st Sept.
Q
m³
/s
VHM
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_007.pdf
Radic, V., Roald, L. A., Rosberg, J., Rogozova, S., Sigurðsson, O., Suomalainen, M., Thorsteinsson, T., Vehviläinen, B., & Veijalainen, N. (2007). Impacts of climate change on river runoff, glaciers and hydropower in the Nordic area. Joint final report from the CE Hydrological Models and Snow and Ice Groups. Reykjavík: Climate and Energy [Report (high resolution 15 MB)] [Report (low resolution 4 MB
/climatology/research/ce/publications/
Based on a report by
Verta et al. (2007)
92.
5
93.
0
93.
5
94.
0
94.
5
95.
0
M A MJ F J J A S ON D
Mean 19702000
Min and max 1970–2000,
natural rating curve
Target water level zone 1
Target water level zone 2
Q=+20%
Q=+10%
Q= 0%
Q=15%
Q=30%
92.90 m snow target 1
92.70 m snow target 2
Water level (m
)
Month
the regulation limits Lake Syväri has target water level zones, which are not legally
/media/ces/Water_resources_man_Veijalainen_etal.pdf
Conclusions of the Scientific Advisory Board of the Icelandic Civil Protection:
• The eruptive activity at Holuhraun continues at similar intensity.
o Lava flows to the East at similar rates as yesterday. The lava is now flowing in
the river bed of Jökulsá á Fjöllum. No explosive activity due to the lava and
river water interaction has been observed, but steam rises from the lava.
• Air
/media/jar/Factsheet_Bardarbunga-140909.pdf
not decreased. Magma flow is between 100 and
200 m3/s. The lava advances by about 1 km/day and its area yesterday afternoon was
around 16 km2.
o The eruption sites are the same as before. The eruptive intensity on the southern
fissure that opened on Friday is much less than on the northern fissure that has
been active since the beginning of the eruption.
o The lava tongue now extends 11 km
/media/jar/Factsheet-Bardarbunga-140907.pdf
in urban areas in East of Iceland:
o Concentrations of SO2, comparable to those measured in the last few days,
could increase slightly today in the east due to the direction of the wind.
Efforts to increase gas monitoring in inhabited areas are ongoing. Data from
The Environmental Agency SO2 monitoring stations in Reyjahlíð, Egilsstaðir
and Reyðarfjörður are accessible on the web-site
/media/jar/myndsafn/Factsheet_Bardarbunga-140910.pdf