for 1971-2000. The probability that the annual or seasonal mean temperature in any
single year will
exceed the mean for 1971-2000 is significantly lower.
11
Later, when the signal of greenhouse-gas-induced climate change gorws stronger, the
probability of warming in Europe becomes even larger, approaching 100% for the annual
mean in the decade 2041-2050 (bottom row of Figure 3.1). However, in contrast
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