have struck in the SISZ and caused damage to
inhabited areas. Annals state that for the past
1000 years, at least 33 earthquakes have
caused severe damage in the South Iceland lowland (SIL) (Einarsson et al., 1981). Based
on this history, and that the last sequence of major earthquakes had occurred in 1896,
Einarsson (1985) concluded that there was 80% probability that a major sequence would
2
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