research
VIII. Resources: extensive vs limited
IX. Institutional conditions: open vs constrained
C Scenario content - complex vs simple:
X. Temporal nature: chain vs snapshot
XI. Variables: heterogeneous vs homogenous
XII. Dynamics: peripheral vs trend
XIII. Level of deviation: alternative vs conventional
XIV. Level of integration: high vs low
Scenarios - types
EXAMPLE 1 – EXPLORATORY SCENARIOS
/media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf
Manage- Basic Purchase Road Road net- Const- Acquisi- Govern- Com- Participati- Value Miscel- Total 2009
ment and road of equip- system work post- ruction tion of ment missi- on of the added laneous cost
operating manage- ment develop- poned-, of land grants ons European tax over- level
costs ment ment comprehen- build- and com- Regional De- heads
1991- 1991- sive- and ings pensation
/media/loftslag/Traffc-maintenance_expenditures.pdf
- Instantaneous Index flood models for Region 2.......................... 44
Appendix IX - Comparison between reference and estimated instantaneous index
floods for Region 1........................................................................................ 45
Appendix X - Comparison between reference and estimated instantaneous index
floods for Region 2
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_001.pdf
is based on Moho reflections from the location marked by the X (Vogfjörd et
al., 2002).
11
Figure 2. Upper: Cumulative number of earthquakes in and near to Eyjafjallajökull.
Lower: Magnitude distribution (local moment magnitude scale, Mlw).
1.2 Seismic activity and deformation of the volcano
The number of detected earthquakes in Eyjafjallajökull has risen substantially since
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_013.pdf
of Geophysical Research, 108(D3), 4124, doi:10.1029/2002JD002287.
IPCC (2001), Climate change 2001: the scientific basis. Contribution of working group I to the
third assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. (eds. Houghton,
J. T. , Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell and C.
A. Johnson), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
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flood-threatened areas (from watercourses,
lakes and sea) and flood-proof areas
- If possible, make a map showing risks Risk = damage extent x probability
- Using the above-named maps, a vision plan should be prepared at a regional and municipal
level In connection with this, consider how interested parties can be involved in a debate about
visions
- Prepare a climate change adaptation plan
/media/loftslag/CASE_A___Jes_Pedersen_(Region_Midt,_Dk)_Introduction.pdf
areas (from watercourses,
lakes and sea) and flood-proof areas
- If possible, make a map showing risks Risk = damage extent x probability
- Using the above-named maps, a vision plan should be prepared at a regional and municipal
level In connection with this, consider how interested parties can be involved in a debate about
visions
- Prepare a climate change adaptation plan with maps that show
/media/loftslag/Case_A___Horsens_Fjord.pdf
for reviewing:
- Make if possible a factual theme map that shows flood-threatened areas (from watercourses,
lakes and sea) and flood-proof areas
- If possible, make a map showing risks Risk = damage extent x probability
- Using the above-named maps, a vision plan should be prepared at a regional and municipal
level In connection with this, consider how interested parties can be involved
/media/loftslag/Horsens_case.pdf