for communication.
A Project goal - exploration vs decision support:
I. Inclusion of norms? : descriptive vs normative
II. Vantage point: forecasting vs backcasting
III. Subject: issue-based, area-based, institution-based
IV. Time scale: long term vs short term
V. Spatial scale: global/supranational vs national/local
Scenarios – types (van Notten et al., 2003)
WHY? and FOR WHOM?
B Process design/media/loftslag/Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1.pdf
the
interior of the ice sheet is somewhat too dry (Fig. 9b). By average a mean negative precipitation
bias of 0.16myr−1 results which equals 43% of the mean from Burgess et al. (2010) (Table 2).
6 Bias Correction and Future Scenario Runs
After having specified a number of biases in the RCM output the model runs were repeated
with bias-corrected RCM data.
To correct the temporal bias of Ta, daily
/media/ces/ces_geus_paakitsoq_full_report.pdf
m
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/media/ces/2010_017.pdf
profiles are very similar3.
Although a significant share of the weather impacts is already today taken into account in the
design, a change in the strength and/or frequency of damaging impacts may cause a need to
change road structures (Saarelainen and Makkonen, 2007). For example, trenches and bridges,
and culvert structures of smaller roads have not been designed for high precipitation
/media/loftslag/Outline_for_the_case_Road_maintenance_in_a_changing_climate.pdf
of homogeneous groups of catchments obtained with
the ROI technique and associated growth curves .............................................. 26
Appendix II - Index flood estimation at gauged sites treated as ungauged. ............ 29
5
6
1 Introduction
Flood frequency analysis is a prerequisite in flood risk assessment studies and for the design
of various hydraulic structures. Often, flood quantile
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_009.pdf
Annual
report
? Icelandic Met O?e
Bústaðavegur –
Reykjavík
Iceland
Editors:
Sigurlaug
Gunnlaugsdóttir
Sigrún Karlsdóttir
Ingvar Kristinsson
Theódór F. Hervarsson
Design and layout:
Vinnustofa
Atla Hilmarssonar
Printing:
Oddi
Cover photo:
Oddur Sigurðsson
ISSN -
The Icelandic Meteorological O?ce, IMO, is responsi -
ble for real-time monitoring and forecasting
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/arsskyrslur/VED_AnnualReport-2013_screen.pdf
inom klimatforskning” (Ongoing activities in climate resarch, In Swedish). Presentation at a project meeting within a Swedish project on “Spillway design floods in a changing climate - Scenarios in a 50-year perspective.” At SMHI, E. Kjellström.
23.9.2009. A presentation in Finnish about the most recent results from climate modeling at the meeting "How will energy be produced in Finland
/ces/publications/nr/1680