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  • 71. Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management

    improving management policies and practices by learning from the outcomes of implemented management strategies. Partici- patory integrated assessment is here a form of problem structuring for identification of gaps, ambiguity and multiple frames, confrontation, and integration of the most divergent views with respect to a given problem situation. Additional methods and tools that AM require com /media/loftslag/Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management.pdf
  • 72. GA_2009_91A_4_Andreassen

    andEnergy Directorate (NVE), Oslo, Norway2Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Norway3Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands Andreassen, L. and Oerlemans, J., 2009: Modelling long-term summer and winter balances and the climate sensitivity of Stor-breen, Norway. Geogr. Ann. 91 A (4): 233–251. ABSTRACT. Measurements of winter balance (bw /media/ces/GA_2009_91A_4_Andreassen.pdf
  • 73. Hydropower, Hydrology

    management, XXVI Nordic hydrological conference, Riga, Latvia August 9-11 2010. Nordic hydrological programme report No. 51. p138-139. Kurpniece. L., Lizuma, L., Timuhins, A., KolcovaT., Kukuls, I. (2010). Climate Change Impacts on Hydrological Regime in Latvia. Conference on Future Climate and Renewable Energy, Oslo, May 31-June 2, 2010. Meilutytė-Barauskienė D., Kriaučiūnienė J. & Kovalenkovienė M /ces/publications/nr/1938
  • 74. Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010

    to c. 10% increase Uncertainty related to choice of GCM • Changing seasonality (2021-2050 vs 1961-1990) in Sweden T2m Precipitation Wind speed Colored lines represent averages over RCMs forced by the same GCM Gray field is max/min of all RCM simulations An example of CC in the next few decades 2011-2040 vs 1961-1990 Why are differences between ensemble members so large? Winter (DJF) M S L P T 2 /media/ces/Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010.pdf
  • 75. RaisanenJouni_CES_2010

    not representative of present or future climate conditions? Winter mean T in Helsinki (1961-2008) 1961- 20081961- 1990 Temperature (°C) P r o b a b i l i t y d e n s i t y -12 4 Simplest case: change in mean climate, with no change in the magnitude of variability If variability changes as well, the two tails of the distribution (e.g., warm and cold) will be affected differently. IPCC (2001 /media/ces/RaisanenJouni_CES_2010.pdf
  • 76. Case_B___Road_transport_operation_and_infrastructure_planning

    variability Models Emission scenarios 2000 2100 LEVEL OF UNCERTAINTY Near future End of the century Natural climate variability + + Climate model sensitivity (+) ++ Emission scenarios ++ Source: J. Räisänen (Univ. of Helsinki) Probabilistic forecasts of temperature change in southern Finland (1971-2000 barb2right 2011-2020) Temperature change (ºC) P r o b a b i l i t y d e n s i t y ( 1 / º C /media/loftslag/Case_B___Road_transport_operation_and_infrastructure_planning.pdf
  • 77. Group3-The-future-of-the-Finnish-national-road-network

    The future of the Finnish national road network under changing climate Erik Schou Gudina L. Feyisa Karoliina Pilli-Sihvola NONAM summer school 26.8.2011 Copenhagen Fuzzy cognitive map -1 -0,5 0 0,5 1 1,5 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 Traffic Costs Policy CC Policy Traffic Research Tech Strat Nat.feat Costs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 CC 1 0 0,2 0 0 0 0 0 0,7 Policy 2 0 0 -0,6 0,8 0 0 0 0 /media/loftslag/Group3-The-future-of-the-Finnish-national-road-network.pdf
  • 78. CES_D2.4_VMGO

    L. Michaelis, S. Mori, T. Morita, W.Pepper, H. Pitcher, L. Price, K. Raihi, A. Roehrl, H.-H. Rogner, A. Sankovski, M.Schlesinger, P.Shukla, S. Smith, R. Swart, S. van Rooijen, N. Victor, Z. Dadi, 2000: IPCC Special Report on Emission Scenarios. Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. a) b) c) Fig.1 Change of annual extreme temperature range /media/ces/CES_D2.4_VMGO.pdf
  • 79. PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final

    Perez P, Burn S (2010) Co-engineering participatory water management processes: theory and insights from Australian and Bulgarian interventions. Ecology and Society 15(4):11 http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol15/iss4/art11 Eriksson L, Garvill J, Nordlund AM (2006). Acceptability of travel demand management measures: The importance of problem awareness, personal norm, freedom, and fairness /media/vedurstofan/PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final.pdf
  • 80. Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160

    and the environment: the importance of recognizing knowledge claims in transdisciplinary arenas. Ecology and Society 16(1): 21. [online] URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol16/iss1/ art21/. Cash, D. W., W. Adger, F. Berkes, P. Garden, L. Lebel, P. Olsson, L. Pritchard, and O. Young. 2006. Scale and cross-scale dynamics: governance and information in a multilevel world. Ecology and Society 11(2): 8 /media/loftslag/Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160.pdf

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