/ design,
availability, materials, ICT,
modal split)
26.8.2011Adriaan Perrels/IL 5
Categorising stages of adaptation
Passive Adaptation
- automatic in nature
and economy
- only ex post measures
(no anticipation)
Active Adaptation
- automatic in nature
and economy
- ex ante and ex post
policies
Emission scenario dependent
baseline (A1-T, B1, A2, etc.)
Reference costs and benefits
/media/loftslag/Perrels-CBA.pdf
Time
Main assortments
l l d Energy biomassSaw ogs Pu pwoo
Small trees Residues Stumps
5
Use of biomass based energy in Finland
Pellets
1% (0.5 Mm3)
S d tForest residues
and small trees
used as chips
9% (3.4 Mm3)
aw us
9% (3.4
Mm3)
Black liquorTraditional
Energy biomass
46 TWh (55%) qu45% (18 Mm3)firewood
15% (6 Mm3)
Bark
21% (8.4 Mm3)
Energy biomass: 20% of the primary energy production
/media/ces/Alam_Ashraful_CES_2010.pdf
(). The circulation of Icelandic waters-a
modelling study. Ocean Science , –.
Nygaard, B. E. K., Hálfdán Ágústsson & K.
Somfalvi-Toth (). Modeling wet snow ac-
cretion on power lines: improvements to previ-
ous methods using years of observations.
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
(), –.
Philippe Crochet (). Sensitivity of Icelandic
river basins to recent
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/arsskyrslur/VED_AnnualReport-2013_screen.pdf
witnessed severe flood in 2006, when
sea level rose to 1.76 m above normal. The extreme rainfall events will bring pressures to the local
drainage system as well.
This project is aiming to build scenarios for adaptive flood management in the coming 20 years for
Horsens Fjord, based IPCC emission scenario A2. The climate situation is shown in Table 1. Two
adaptive water management (AWM
/media/loftslag/Group-1_Scenarios-for-AWM.pdf
activities.
Anne K. Fleig et al. “Regional hydrological droughts and weather types in north-western Europe “
University of Oslo Droughts WTs SummaryRelationsIntroduction Outlook
Hydrological drought in NW-Europe: Data
5
6
5
8
6
0
5
5
.
5
5
6
.
0
5
6
.
5
5
7
.
0
5
7
.
5
-10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25
3
5
4
0
4
5
5
0
5
5
6
0
6
5
7
0
s
o
u
r
c
e
:
N
a
t
i
o
n
a
l
E
n
v
i
r
o
n
m
e
n
t
a
l
R
e
s
e
a
r
/media/ces/AnneFleig_May2010_CES.pdf
tg
ui
da
n
ce
fo
rt
ra
ns
bo
un
da
ry
w
at
er
s,
pr
ep
ar
ed
an
d
P. van der Keur et al.
(floo
dmanag
ement
)an
d
wat
er
qualit
y
ag
re
ed
u
po
n
in
co
m
m
o
n
u
n
de
rs
ta
nd
in
g,
creat
ed
th
e
bas
is
fo
rth
e
formul
atio
n
o
f
joi
nt
m
ea
su
re
s
(Fr
ijte
rs
an
d
Le
en
tv
aa
r
200
3)
Mo
del
s
(na
tural
,te
chnica
l
an
d
so
ci
al
sy
ste
m
s):
Uncert
aint
y
ha
s
to
be
incorp
orated
:
1:
Ep
ist
/media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf
climate scenario. We will
apply this methodology in the current project also. An
important difference is however that the assumptions
for climate and energy system will refer to
approximately the same year.
0
10
20
30
4
0
5
0
6
0
7
0
8
0
9
0
1
0
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
GWh/week
Eu
roCent/
k
W
h
Deman
d
Supp
l
y
Minimum
system costs
Water values
Marginal
costs
Simulating stochastic
/media/ces/esa_flyer_new.pdf
planning; 2) a state-of-the-art
literature review, examining European and American municipal and regional adaptation strategies, 3)
interviews (20-30) with municipal and regional planners and policy makers in Copenhagen and Portland; 4)
the use of a Multi-Criteria Decision Support (MCDS) software tool to help understand how different groups
rank and value competing planning goals within
/media/loftslag/programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference.pdf