fall and storm surge
Groundwater pollution by salt, nutrients, pesticides, and contaminants from landfills
Changing groundwater table which likely due to more abstraction
Droughts due to rising temperature
An adaptive management is needed to be applied to address those climate change effects. In this study, we
developed scenarios for 50 years time frame to support a 20 years adaptive
/media/loftslag/Group2-report.pdf
volume towards a new steady state of the glacier in the case of a “moderate” step change
in climate.
The relative importance of the mass-balance–elevation feedback and the reduction in ice-
covered area may be analysed with reference to the perturbation equation
d(DV )
dt
= B0+beDA+GeDV = B
0
DV
tV
; (3)
where the volume time-scale tV is given by
tV =
1
( be=H) Ge
; (4)
(Harrison and others, 2001
/media/ces/ces-glacier-scaling-memo2009-01.pdf
bodies of management,
decision-support, risk, and participation literature.
d’Aquino (2008)
Patrick d’Aquino relies on 20 years of
implementation and evaluation experience, mostly
in a natural resource management context and in
developing countries. His approach is, at this point,
the least conceptually developed design method of
the guides presented here, although it is linked to a
theoretical
/media/loftslag/vonKorff_etal-2010.pdf
17 24 64
Sustainability Eventually 5 3 30 28 66
Fortress Europe 18 11 30 23 72
Policy Rules 6 5 13 17 41
Total 44 27 8092 243
844 K. Kok et al. / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 78 (2011) 835–851
Author's personal copy
sector. The presence of various climate-related strategies is a consequence of the presence of climate-related obstacles and
opportunities.
3.4.6. Robust elements
Results
/media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf
it will be one of the main aspects
of this paper.
2.3. Properties
The elements of a Fuzzy Cognitive Map are as follows:
Concepts: C1, C2, . . ., Cn. These represent the drivers and
constraints that are considered of importance to the issue under
consideration.
State vector: A = (a1, a2, . . ., an), where ai denotes the state of the
node Ci. The state vector represents the value of the concepts
/media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf
). NeWater is based on the
hypothesis that IWRM cannot be realised unless current
management regimes undergo a transition towards more
0301-4797/$ - see front matter r 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2007.05.009
Corresponding author. Tel.: +45 38 14 27 71; fax: +45 38 14 20 50.
E-mail address: hjh@geus.dk (H.J. Henriksen).
(Downing et al., 2005). Vulnerability
/media/loftslag/Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management.pdf
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/media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf