for the decade 2041-2050 has a width of over 2.5ºC under
the A1B scenario, whereas the corresponding uncertainty range for the annual mean
precipitation change is about 20%. For the same decade, the differences in multi-model mean
temperature change between the B1, A1B and A2 scenarios are of the order of 0.5ºC, while
24
the corresponding differences in precipitation change are only about 2 percentage
/media/ces/raisanen_ruosteenoja_CES_D2.2.pdf
Summary of the break-out sessions on road infrastructure
By Adriaan Perrels (FMI)
1. Introduction
The break-out sessions, three in total, were interspersed between the various oral presentations
on Thursday afternoon, Friday morning and Friday afternoon. Each session was 60 to 80
minutes. The participants had two assignments:
1. deliberate 7 questions on issues pertaining subsequent
/media/vedurstofan/NONAM_1st_workshop_summary_v3.pdf
is formed by glacial deposits. The average depth is 5 meters and the residence time
of water in the fjord is about 20 days. As to tidal variations the amplitude is about 0.4 meters. Horsens
fjord consists of marine coastal ecosystems. There are three fairly large islands with cultivated land and
scattered habitation. One of the most important plant community on the islands are along the East coast
/media/loftslag/CASE_A___Jes_Pedersen_(Region_Midt,_Dk)_Introduction.pdf
is formed by glacial deposits. The average depth is 5 meters and the residence time
of water in the fjord is about 20 days. As to tidal variations the amplitude is about 0.4 meters. Horsens
fjord consists of marine coastal ecosystems. There are three fairly large islands with cultivated land and
scattered habitation. One of the most important plant community on the islands are along the East coast
/media/loftslag/Case_A___Horsens_Fjord.pdf
7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Month
M
ea
n
d
is
ch
ar
g
e
(m
3 /
s)
Present: Mean A2: Mean
Station 280001: Upstream Bygholm Lake
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Month
M
ax
im
u
m
d
is
ch
ar
g
e
(m
3 /
s)
Present: Max A2: Max
Station 270045: Upstream Lake Nørrestrand
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Month
M
ea
n
d
is
ch
ar
g
e
(m
3 /
s)
Present: Max A2: Max
/media/loftslag/Horsens_case.pdf
236
1992 09 167 124 167 98
1995 07 1994 1759 599 368
1995 10 96 62 73 37
1997 07 921 728 330 184
2000 08 1240 1083 365 221
2002 09 689 582 267 160
2003 11 241 207 139 98
2006 04 1370 1340 300 270
2008 10 1350 1290 300 265
The origin of the 1957, 1960, 1964 and 1966 jökulhlaups is not certain but is most likely the eastern cauldron. The discharge
and volume for the 1995 jökulhlaup are a sum from
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_006_tt.pdf
Av. Ed.
Belin, 31400 Toulouse, France
Received: 21 March 2011 – Published in The Cryosphere Discuss.: 6 April 2011
Revised: 5 October 2011 – Accepted: 20 October 2011 – Published: 2 November 2011
Abstract. The Little Ice Age maximum extent of glaciers in
Iceland was reached about 1890 AD and most glaciers in the
country have retreated during the 20th century. A model for
the surface mass balance
/media/ces/Adalgeirsdottir-etal-tc-5-961-2011.pdf
about 20-25% in 2010 to about 50% in 2050. Perhaps surprisingly,
a particularly high probability is found in Iceland, most likely as a result of the small
12
interannual variability there. As expected, the probability of very warn years rises even faster
than that of warm months – in northern Europe from typically 30-40% in 2010 to about 60-
80% in 2030 and to 85-95% or even more in 2050
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_task1.pdf
(alb: AWS)
MODELLING LONG-TERM SUMMER AND WINTER BALANCES
? The authors 2009
Journal compilation ? 2009 Swedish Society for Anthropology and Geography 241
ed temperatures relative to –20°C to account for de-cay of snow albedo at temperatures below the melt-ing point, following a study by Winther (1993). Wetested both approaches, and chose to use –5°C asthe minimum for the accumulated temperature
/media/ces/GA_2009_91A_4_Andreassen.pdf