J A
0 100 200 30020
0
60
0
100
0
Days since Sept. 1st
Q
(m
^3
/s)
Obs
Pred−nearest
Pred−weight
Method 4 T+2: RMSE−nearest= 69.6 RMSE−weight= 44.5
S O N D J F M A M J J A
Figure 7. Observed and predicted daily discharges at vhm 64 for a forecast range (T) of 2 days
and water-year 2004–2005, using methods 1 to 4 with rescaling. The 80%, 90% and 95% pre-
diction intervals are represented by grey
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf