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• 1. programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference

  During the conference all of you are requested to act as rapporteur in two or three sessions. A preliminary allocation of rapporteur sessions has been made (see below), while accounting for your expertise in certain areas. Participants can suggest changes in the rapporteur session allocation, on the condition a convincing argumentation is provided as well as a confirmed alternative rapporteur /media/loftslag/programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference.pdf

• 2. Refsgaard_1-Welcome

  – Print yourselves • Case descriptions and tasks/questions • Lecturers’ presentations – Handouts during the week – Pdfs will be uploaded at website afterwards Practicalities • PC login – Internet access • Printing • Lunch • Coffee – tea • Posters Monday afternoon + refreshments • Dinner Tuesday at 19:00 Students • Brief presentation round – now • 2-minutes presentation of research topics /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_1-Welcome.pdf

• 3. Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management

  the body of knowledge in any given area by mapping out cause-and-effect relationships among key variables and encoding them with numbers that represent the extent to which one variable is likely to affect another (Jensen, 2002). Factors, associations and probabilities can be adjusted and validated and BNs are powerful for integrating data and knowledge from different sources and domains, e.g /media/loftslag/Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management.pdf

• 4. Latest news on the eruption at Reykjanes peninsula

  the area and to follow instructions and advice as given by the local Police and Civil Protection authorities.Updated 8.8. at 13:00Gas pollution at the eruption site can at any time exceed danger levels. The eruptive plume follows the wind direction, and it is therefore safer to watch the eruption with the wind direction behind you, rather than towards you.In calm/light wind (<5 m/s) gas can /about-imo/news/a-new-eruption-has-started-at-fagradalsfjall

• 5. Traffc-maintenance_expenditures

  229 1 587 160 1970 18 591 42 413 2 166 86 101 - 892 5 131 2 310 201 - - - 157 805 1 652 904 1969 17 559 38 840 2 313 93 776 - 922 4 562 1 571 - - - - 159 543 1 832 354 1968 13 474 36 376 3 074 104 519 - 1 080 4 131 1 156 - - - - 163 811 1 964 368 1967 11 139 34 495 5 940 95 857 - 419 3 032 1 087 - - - - 151 968 1 936 249 1966 9 835 32 581 8 349 94 777 - 587 4 205 1 743 - - - - 152 077 2 032 936 /media/loftslag/Traffc-maintenance_expenditures.pdf

• 6. CES_D2_2_poster_3x3

  (median) changes from the model-based hindcast. Bottom: the location of the observed change within the hindcast probability distribution. Blue (red) shading indicates areas where the observed change was above the 95th percentile (below the 5th percentile) of the hindcast distribution. These maps show that there was no detailed agreement between the best-estimate precipitation change hindcast /media/ces/CES_D2_2_poster_3x3.pdf

• 7. Isskyrsla_20100407

  N66°44.92' W025°08.94' 79. N66°45.01' W025°08.50' 80. N66°46.32' W025°10.27' 81. N66°46.73' W025°07.19' 82. N66°46.01' W025°04.86' 83. N66°46.22' W025°04.33' 84. N66°47.12' W025°06.45' 85. N66°47.26' W025°04.36' 86. N66°48.44' W025°03.60' 87. N66°49.10' W025°04.45' 88. N66°51.68' W025°03.27' 89. N66°53.36' W024°59.25' 90. N66°55.39' W024°58.89' 91. N66°55.82' W024°58.13' 92. N66°56.15' W025°01.15 /media/hafis/skyrslur_lhg/Isskyrsla_20100407.pdf

• 8. CES_D2.4_VMGO

  the territories of European Russia (ER) and Europe (EU) an ensemble of 9 CMIP3 [1] comprehensive global (coupled atmosphere-ocean) climate models is used in this assessment (Table 1); so called A2 scenario is considered. Both A2 and A1B scenarios are similar in terms of resulting global mean warming up to the mid-21st century IPCC [2]. The projected changes in ER and EU in many cases continue /media/ces/CES_D2.4_VMGO.pdf

• 9. PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final

  Christian Refsgaard, GEUS All week AP Adriaan Perrels, FMI All week SK Sigrún Karsldóttir, IMO All week FU Frederik Uldal, University of Copenhagen Logistic support Course material Papers and book chapters - recommended reading Henriksen HJ, Barlebo HC (2008) Reflections on the use of Bayesian belief networks for adaptive management. Journal of Environmental Management, 88, 1025- 1036. doi:10.1016 /media/vedurstofan/PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final.pdf

• 10. Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons

  The well-being of any human community is critically dependent on continued access to natural and man-made resources. Decades before sustainability became a popular slogan, the Ostroms began to investigate the conditions under which natural resources can be man- aged in a sustainable manner. The origins of the Workshop approach can be traced back at least as far as “State Administration of Natural /media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons.pdf