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Results:

• 1. WAFC Prognostic charts

  Office: Valid: Analysis 00 z 06 z 12 z 18 z Forecast 00 z 06 z 12 z 18 z SIGWX charts: Valid: NAT 00 z 06 z 12 z 18 z EUR 00 z 06 z 12 z 18 z EUR wind forecast charts NAT wind forecast charts Tropopause - height and temperature Max wind and FL Humidity /weather/aviation/wafc/

• 2. Group3-The-future-of-the-Finnish-national-road-network

  on the current state of the world Uncertainty  Focus on temperature projection  Short time horizon Emission scenario unc. (qual. unc.) Nat. Var. Stochastic and statistical unc.  Epistemic unc. still most important (Hawkins & Sutton 2009) • Traffic volume: qualitative vs. Epistemic unc.? Reasonable forecasts should be possible (people are not going to abandon their cars over night…) /media/loftslag/Group3-The-future-of-the-Finnish-national-road-network.pdf

• 3. Climate and Modeling Scenarios

  climate. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10, 1563-1574, doi: 10.5194/nhess-10-1563-2010. Other international Benestad, R.E. (2010). A study of storms and winds in the North-Atlantic, met.no report no 7/2010. Benestad, R.E. (2010). An analysis if simulated and observed storm characteristics, In Proc. of Future climate and renewable energy: Impacts, risks and adaptation, Oslo, 31 May-2 June 2010 /ces/publications/nr/1680

• 4. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

  extreem events C6; qual nat. systems C7; policies C8; price of resources C9; other sectors C10; industry C11; inrastructure Crimea - Ukraine Manaus - Brazil From FCM to model input FCM – strong points • Easy to develop and apply. The approach is highly intuitive, it can quickly be explained and applied to any new situation. • High level of integration. A FCM can contain any type of information /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf

• 5. 2012-Refsgaard_etal-uncertainty_climate-change-adaptation-MITI343

  at e (C limat e models ) GC M s X X XX X X X X RCM s X X XX X X X X Initia lco n ditions / nat ura lva riabilit y X X XX X D ow ns ca lin g/ sta tis tic al co rr ec tio n X X X X X X X X X W ate r syst em impact s (H yd ro -e co lo gi ca lm o de ls) X X X X X XX X X X X X X X X X Socio -econo m ic imp act s (So ci o- ec on om ic to ol s) X X X X X X X X X XX X X X A da pt ati on m ea su re s X X X X /media/loftslag/2012-Refsgaard_etal-uncertainty_climate-change-adaptation-MITI343.pdf

• 6. Journal_of_Hydrology_Veijalainen_etal

  /media/ces/Journal_of_Hydrology_Veijalainen_etal.pdf

• 7. Water_resources_man_Veijalainen_etal

  personal copy 3446 N. Veijalainen et al. Table 2 Summary of mean, highest and lowest water levels (m) in the study lakes in the reference period and in 2010–2039, 2040–2069 and 2070–2099 Lake Pielinen Lake Pielinen Lake Saimaaa Lake Syväria nat. rating curve new reg. scheme Mean water level (m) Reference period 93.64 93.62 75.80 95.55 2010–2039 range 90% 93.61–93.72 93.66–94.73 75.75–75.88 95.60 /media/ces/Water_resources_man_Veijalainen_etal.pdf

• 8. Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change

  /media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf

• 9. VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM

  to al lo ca te th e w at er u se s w ith in th e ba sin (al lwat er user s incl udin g nat ur e co n se rv at io n) R ecen t in te rn at io na l de ve lo pm en ts In te rn at io na la gr ee m en ts po te nt ia ls/ co ns tra in ts, politic s Unc ertaint y abou tth e Rhin e co m m iss io n (IC PR )m an da te to se trule s fo rIWR M fo r tri bu ta rie s/c ou nt rie s. 1:Ont ologica l2:Sce nari o Int /media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf