....................................................... 21
Table 11. List of shell scripts used in GPS data processing. .................................................. 22
Table 12. Usage of different mall_ shell scripts. .................................................................... 22
Table 13. List of common binaries used in GPS data management. ...................................... 23
Table 14
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:
Scenarios
Scenarios - background
‘Scenario’ comes from the dramatic arts. In theater: it is an outline of
the plot; for a movie: a scenario details relevant to the plot (before
1940s)
Roots trace back to the Manhattan project (1940s)
Kahn & Weiner used scenarios in a series of strategic studies for
military planning purposes (1950s)
Scenarios were refined at Royal Dutch/Shell/media/loftslag/Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1.pdf
in the 1970s for business planning
First successful example Shell in scenario planning end 1970s
Current method developed by John Robinson in the mid 1980s;
method has not fundamentally changed since
Robinson sees participative backcasting as the second generation of
backcasting studies.
Typically address a perceived societal problem with the aim of finding
a real solution normative
Recent
/media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf
pathways [4]. By employing participatory methods, policy makers and other stakeholders
can be directly involved in assessing possible futures, and thus be better placed to help shape the future or adapt to changing
conditions.
First used for military planning purposes [5] and later rened by Royal Dutch/Shell [6], scenarios came to the attention of the
general public in the 1970s
/media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf