-scale Category
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F
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Permanent Homes
Casualties and Timing
Casualties and Time of Day
150
200
250
I
n
d
e
x
V
a
l
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e
Fatalities
0
50
100
Overnight Morning Early Afternoon Late Afternoon Late Evening
I
n
d
e
x
V
a
l
u
e
Injuries
Nocturnal Tornadoes
7
8
9
10
R
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N
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0
1
2
3
4
56
F0 F1 F2 F3 F4
F
/media/loftslag/Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation.pdf
of the analogue method is introduced. In Section 3 hydrological and me-
teorological data used in the analysis are presented. Section 4 describes the different strategies
considered for implementing the method and Section 5 presents some results. Some concluding
remarks are made in Section 6.
2 The analogue method
Let X(t) be a state of a dynamical system at time t, known through the observation of k variables
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf
climate scenario. We will
apply this methodology in the current project also. An
important difference is however that the assumptions
for climate and energy system will refer to
approximately the same year.
0
10
20
30
4
0
5
0
6
0
7
0
8
0
9
0
1
0
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
GWh/week
Eu
roCent/
k
W
h
Deman
d
Supp
l
y
Minimum
system costs
Water values
Marginal
costs
Simulating stochastic
/media/ces/esa_flyer_new.pdf
in Askja
8 Projects
9 The weather in Iceland 2014
10 Finance
11 Sta?publications
I C E L A N D I C M E T O F F I C E / A N N U A L R E P O R T 2 0 1 4
3
One of the main goals of the merger of the Hydrological Service,
HS, and the Icelandic Meteorological O?e, IMO, was to improve
the capabilities regarding monitoring, warnings and emergency
response due to natural hazards. Prior
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf
A
0 100 200 300
0
1
2
3
4
5
Days since 1st sep.
n
o
rm
al
ise
d
Q,
W
S,
SW
E Q
WS
SWE
vhm278
S O N D J F M A M J J A
Figure 4. Normalized mean input water supply (WS), mean discharge (Q) and mean snow-
pack (SWE) seasonality.
16
22
1
27
8
20
5
20
6
26
5
27
7
14
8
14
9
0
2
4
6
8
12
method=ward
clusters
H
ei
gh
t
22
1
26
5
27
7
14
8
14
9
27
8
20
5
20
6
0
2
4
6
8
10
method=complete
clusters
H
ei
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_007.pdf