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measure of leaving a travel plan behind.
Travel Plan
One of the most important things to do when preparing a journey is to make a detailed travel plan and leave with someone who can act if needed. Travel plan should always include the following information:
Date of travel, departure time and arrival time
Name of those who travel, phone number or other telecommunication
Accommodation (GPS
/about-imo/news/nr/2707
on the afternoon of Friday,
27 August 2010 (at a time that enables catching late return flights to Norway and Denmark).
Day one: 26 August 2010
9:00 opening and welcome by local representative Sigrún Karlsdóttir and by Adriaan Perrels (FMI, Fi) as NONAM coordinator
9:20 p1 Jens Christian Refsgaard (GEUS, Dk). Uncertainty and Risk - terminology and concepts
9:50 p2 Gareth James Lloyd (DHI, Dk). What
/nonam/workshop/program/
in asphalt, road maintenace
Change: 30% more than BAU
Socio-economic scenario
Climate scenario
Worst case (4.4 C increase;
17 % increase in prec)
Best case (1.5 C increase; 2% increase in
prec)
BAU A B
Change +30 % C D
Spatial analogues:
- regions which today have a similar climate to the expected future one the study region (IPCC TAR,
2001)
- limited by possible lack
/media/loftslag/Group3-Road-scenarios.pdf
Floods in Norway under a near future 2021-2050 climate: Hydrological projections for rainfall vs. snowmelt
floods and their uncertainties ................................................................................................................................ 32
Veijalainen, N. and Vehviläinen, B.
Climate change and lake regulation in Finland – Impacts and adaptation possibilities
/media/ces/ces-oslo2010_proceedings.pdf
of melt water from glaciated
areas in long integrations for a warming climate.
Glacier dynamics
This problem can be qualitatively analysed by considering the continuity equation for ice vol-
ume, which may be expressed as
¶h
¶t
+
¶q
¶x
= b or
¶h
¶t
+~ ~q = b ; (1)
for a one-dimensional ice flow channel or an ice cap that flows in two horizontal dimensions,
respectively. h is ice thickness, q or ~q
/media/ces/ces-glacier-scaling-memo2009-01.pdf
Change 19 (2009) 122–133
A R T I C L E I N F O
Article history:
Received 14 November 2007
Received in revised form 21 August 2008
Accepted 25 August 2008
Keywords:
Fuzzy Cognitive Maps
Scenario
Participation
Resilience
Brazil
A B S T R A C T
The main drawback of the Story-and-Simulation approach is the weak link between qualitative and
quantitative scenarios. A semi-quantitative tool, Fuzzy
/media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf
data
ÁsbyrgiNorth EsjObs.ForecastMeteogramInfo.Obs. data
ÁsgarðurBreiðafjsjForecastMeteogramInfo.Obs. data
ÁsgarðurBreiðafjskObs.Info.Obs. data
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B
BakkagerðiE coastalsjObs.Info.Obs. data
Básar á GoðalandiSouthsjObs.Info.Obs. data
BiskupshálsNorth EsjObs.Info.Obs. data
BíldudalurWest fjsjObs.ForecastMeteogramInfo.Obs. data
/weather/stations/
periods of time and over smaller spatial scales.
In general, regional climate projections are derived either directly from one or more general cir-
culation model (GCM) runs, or through additional numerical or statistical downscaling of these
large-scale fields. Numerical downscaling uses higher-resolution regional climate models (RCMs)
over a limited area to refine global GCM simulations. Problems
/media/ces/2010_005_.pdf
Coad 5,
Jean-Emmanuel Rougier 6, Matthew Hare 7, Natalie A. Jones 8, Albena Popova 4, Dominique Rollin 3,
Pascal Perez 9,10, and Stewart Burn 11
ABSTRACT. Broad-scale, multi-governance level, participatory water management processes intended to
aid collective decision making and learning are rarely initiated, designed, implemented, and managed by
one person. These processes mostly emerge from
/media/loftslag/Moellenkampetal_etal-2010.pdf
global radiation), i.e., the
sum of the direct and diffuse solar radiation. The quantity can be expressed in W/m2 or
MJ/m2 per time unit. In this account, changes in incident radiation are viewed both in
absolute1 and percentage terms.
Model output data were downloaded from the CMIP3 data archive. There were a few
models for which the simulation for one of the three scenarios was missing; in those
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_solar_CMIP3.pdf