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)
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Change in wind over the Baltic Sea in 70 years time at the time of CO2-doubling
Chen and Aschberger, 2006
17
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/media/ces/Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010.pdf
et al., 2002).
11
3.2 Flood frequency distribution and parameter estimation method
The Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution (Jenkinson, 1955) was adopted to model the
flood frequency distribution from the AMF series:
Q(D;T ) =
e+ ak (1 [ ln(1 1=T )]
k) if k 6= 0
e aln( ln(1 1=T )) if k= 0
(3)
where e is the location parameter, a is the scale parameter and k is the shape parameter
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CES conference, Oslo, Norway, 31 May - 2 June 2010
Typical features
• develop slowly,
• become severe when they cover a large region and persist for an
extended period.
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/media/ces/AnneFleig_May2010_CES.pdf
& Kjellstrom, E. Analysis of possible changes in intense and extreme wind speeds over northern Europe under climate change scenarios. Climate Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0955-3 (In press).
Reihan, A. Koltsova, T., Kriauciuniene, J., Lizuma, L. & Meilutytë-Barauskienë, D. (2008). Changes in river runoff in Baltic States in 20th century and its relation to climate change. Nordic Hydrology 33
/ces/publications/nr/1943
5
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1
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Days since 1st sep.
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1
2
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1
2
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/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_007.pdf
inty in decision making linking pluriform uncertainty combining certified and tacit knowledge
Tommy Chan Mich el Laiho Patrick Driscoll Kare Lundgren Hector Guin a Barrientos
Eivind Junker Jussi Ylhäisi Athanasios Votsis
Karoliina Pilli-Sihvola Yuang Zheng Väi ö Nurmi Jiao Xi nj Wejs
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Ensemble approach for probabilistic
hydrological projections
Catchment
/media/ces/Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010.pdf
example
can be given by the low cost still flood risk adaptation by implementing early warning system. But
there is one more suggestion dfor stakeholders to restrict infrastructure in the cities of Horsens.
Fiva PhD Courses : Adaptive management in relation to climate change (august 22 2011 - august 26 2011)
2 / 3
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/media/loftslag/Group-1_Scenarios-for-AWM.pdf
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