average temperature change, the upper ranges of sea
level rise for SRES scenarios shown in Table 3.1 would increase by
0.1 to 0.2m.13 {WGI 10.6, SPM}
Table 3.1. Projected global average surface warming and sea level rise at the end of the 21st century. {WGI 10.5, 10.6, Table 10.7, Table SPM.3}
Temperature change Sea level rise
(°C at 2090-2099 relative to 1980-1999) a, d (m at 2090-2099 relative
/media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf
-scale Category
P
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o
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y
F
a
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s
Permanent Homes
Casualties and Timing
Casualties and Time of Day
150
200
250
I
n
d
e
x
V
a
l
u
e
Fatalities
0
50
100
Overnight Morning Early Afternoon Late Afternoon Late Evening
I
n
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x
V
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Injuries
Nocturnal Tornadoes
7
8
9
10
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N
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h
t
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1
2
3
4
5
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F0 F1 F2 F3 F4
F
/media/loftslag/Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation.pdf
of stationarity was
Climate change undermines a basic assumption
that historically has facilitated management of
water supplies, demands, and risks.
Stationarity Is Dead:
Whither Water Management?
P. C. D. Milly,1* Julio Betancourt,2 Malin Falkenmark,3 Robert M. Hirsch,4 Zbigniew W.
Kundzewicz,5 Dennis P. Lettenmaier,6 Ronald J. Stouffer7
CLIMATE CHANGE
1U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), c/o National Oceanic
/media/loftslag/Milly_etal-2008-Stationarity-dead-Science.pdf
in the volcanic cloud. The more abundant gases present are
SO2, CO2, HCl, HF, H2O.
In the first month and half we had an averaged flux equals to 400 kg/s (~35 kT/d) with peaks up to 1300
kg/s (~112 kT/d). Assuming a constant release of gas until today, the eruption has injected into the
atmosphere an amount of SO2 in the range 3.5 Mt (considering the average flux) – 11.2 Mt (considering
the peak
/media/jar/bb100days_ens.pdf
)
Best case (1.5 C increase; 2%
increase in prec)
BAU A B
Change +30 % C D
Scenario
combination
Impact
Adaptation measures
North South North South
A *
CC: Possible increase in the
amount of snow more
snow clearing increase in
operational costs
S-E: increase in traffic
volume increased wear of
roads increase in
maintenance cost.
**
CC: Possibly less snow,
more rain
/media/loftslag/Group3-The-future-of-the-Finnish-national-road-network.pdf
technologies are
being implemented which will provide a platform for a possible future ICS-D (distributed components
of the Integrated Core Services) for EPOS.
Planning and site selection process for the new instrument installations are well underway as well as
the procurement of the required equipment. In total 17 new seismological and geodetic stations will be
co-located in selected sites in Northern
/media/norsem/norsem_atakan_norway.pdf
? – D Wheeler
Simulations of the impact of Arctic sea ice on the atmospheric circulation: the need for coupled
models – D Smith
Greenland Blocking and North Atlantic Oscillation changes – E Hanna / J Overland
Group Discussion
12:45 – 14:00 Lunch (after which we move into the matsalur - lunch hall)
14:00 – 15:40
14:00 – 14:20
14:20 – 14:40
14:40 – 15:00
15:00 – 15:20
15:20 – 15:40
/media/loftslag/Mid-Latitudes-Agenda1_nov2013EH.pdf
and corrected data
-5 0 5 10 15
1
.
0
1
.
5
2
.
0
2
.
5
3
.
0
3
.
5
Temperature,°C
P
r
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p
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a
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n
,
m
m
/
d
a
y
Jan
Feb Mar
Apr
May
Jun
JulAug
Sep
OctNov
Dec
Year
obs ALUKSNE
DMI 1961-1990 ALUKSNE
mod DMI 1961-1990 ALUKSNE
JanFeb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
AugSep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Year
Jan
Feb
ar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Nov
Dec ear
After the
correction all 3
climate models
agree with
observed data
/media/ces/Kurpniece_Liga_CES_2010.pdf
Based on a report by
Verta et al. (2007)
92.
5
93.
0
93.
5
94.
0
94.
5
95.
0
M A MJ F J J A S O N D
Mean 19702000
Min and max 1970–2000,
natural rating curve
Target water level zone 1
Target water level zone 2
Q=+20%
Q=+10%
Q= 0%
Q=15%
Q=30%
92.90 m snow target 1
92.70 m snow target 2
Water level (m
)
Month
the regulation limits Lake Syväri has target water level zones, which are not legally
/media/ces/Water_resources_man_Veijalainen_etal.pdf