on the
Shifts of climatic
zones from
cooler or wetter
to warmer or
drier
(a) 1971-2000 (b) 2010-39 A1B
observational data set
(0.25º grid) from Haylock
et al. (2008)
(b-d) Based on CMIP3
GCM runs for A1B
& the delta-change
method
(c) 2040-69 A1B (d) 2070-99 A1B
Jylhä et al. (2010)
Uncertainties in climate change schematically
Observed
climate
Future
climate Natural
/media/loftslag/Case_B___Road_transport_operation_and_infrastructure_planning.pdf
?
Methodological reflections on scalar structuration.
Progress in Human Geography 25:591-614.
Bryan, B. A., N. D. Crossman, D. King, W. S.
Meyer. 2011. Landscape futures analysis: assessing
the impacts of environmental targets under
alternative spatial policy options and future
scenarios. Environmental Modelling and Software
26(1):83-91.
Buizer, M., B. Arts, and K. Kok. 2011. Governance,
scale
/media/loftslag/Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160.pdf
A. Dunne, A. V. Vecchia, Nature 438,
347 (2005).
16. J. C. Knox, Quatern. Sci. Rev. 19, 439 (2000).
17. P. C. D. Milly, R. T. Wetherald, K. A. Dunne, T. L. Delworth,
Nature 415, 514 (2002).
18. Z. W. Kundzewicz et al., Hydrol. Sci. J. 50, 797 (2005).
19. R. Seager et al., Science 316, 1181 (2007).
20. IPCC, in Climate Change 2007: Mitigation of Climate
Change, Contribution of WG3 to AR4, B
/media/loftslag/Milly_etal-2008-Stationarity-dead-Science.pdf
wide and
1000 m long shelf called Þófi, terminating at 80–100 m a.s.l., see Map 4. The inclination of
the shelf is 15 on average. The surface of Þófi is covered with unconsolidated glacial till and
landslide deposits and marked with five gullies. The brook called Þófalækur near the middle of
the shelf divides it into an inner and outer part. On the outermost part of the shelf, there is a small
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2016/VI_2016_006_rs.pdf
: Significant at 90% CL
Norwegian Meteorological Institute met.no
Fokstugu (973 m.a.s.l.)
Introduction Data & Methods Results
Trends in start and end:
Significant at 99% CL
/media/ces/Dyrrdal_Anita_CES_2010.pdf
? – D Wheeler
Simulations of the impact of Arctic sea ice on the atmospheric circulation: the need for coupled
models – D Smith
Greenland Blocking and North Atlantic Oscillation changes – E Hanna / J Overland
Group Discussion
12:45 – 14:00 Lunch (after which we move into the matsalur - lunch hall)
14:00 – 15:40
14:00 – 14:20
14:20 – 14:40
14:40 – 15:00
15:00 – 15:20
15:20 – 15:40
/media/loftslag/Mid-Latitudes-Agenda1_nov2013EH.pdf
distribution of runoff under present and
future conditions, Plavinas HPP
0.0
200.0
400.0
600.0
800.0
1000.0
1200.0
1400.0
1600.0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
D
i
s
c
h
a
r
g
e
m
3
/
s
Observed 1961-90
SMHI-RCA3-BMC A1B 2021-50
DMI-HIRLAM-ECHAM5 A1B 2021-50
MetNo-HIRLAM-HadCM3 A1B 2021-50
Observed and modeled runoff , Plavinas
0.00
200.00
400.00
600.00
800.00
1000.00
1200.00
/media/ces/Kurpniece_Liga_CES_2010.pdf
750-1170
AAR of the warm year of 2004
- digitized using the October 2004 SPOT 5 HRS images
Ice cap
E: Eyjafjallajökull
To: Torfajökull
Ti: Tindfjallajökull
AAR (%)
20-25
<5
0
Method
References
Berthier E., Arnaud Y., Baratoux D., Vincent C. and Rémy F. 2004. Recent rapid thinning of the "Mer de Glace" glacier derived from satellite optical images.
Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L17401, doi:10.1029
/media/ces/glacier_mass_balance_poster.pdf