)] [Report (low resolution 4 MB)]
Carlsson, B., Graham, L. P., Andréasson, J., & Rosberg, J. (2005). Exploring the range of uncertainty in climate change impacts on runoff and hydropower for the Luleälven River. Presented at the 15th International Northern Research Basins Symposium and Workshop, Luleå to Kvikkjokk, Sweden, Aug 29 - Sept 2. 9-20. [Paper]
Demers, D., & Roy, R. (2006). Impacts of climate
/climatology/research/ce/publications/
Christian Refsgaard, GEUS All week
AP Adriaan Perrels, FMI All week
SK Sigrún Karsldóttir, IMO All week
FU Frederik Uldal, University of Copenhagen Logistic support
Course material
Papers and book chapters - recommended reading
Henriksen HJ, Barlebo HC (2008) Reflections on the use of Bayesian belief networks for adaptive management. Journal of Environmental Management, 88, 1025-
1036. doi:10.1016
/media/vedurstofan/PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final.pdf
Juhola (FIN)
Sigrun Karlsdottir (IS)
Halldór Björnsson (IS)
Richard Klein (S)
Rik Leemans (NL)
Henrik Madsen (DK)
Anil Markandya (E)
Jørgen E. Olesen (DK)
Adrian Perrels (FIN)
John Porter (DK)
Markku Rummukainen (S)
Hans von Storch (D)
ORGANIZERS ? S PONSORS
2nd Announcement and Call for Papers 2nd Announcement and Call for Papers
www.nordicadaptation2014.net
/media/loftslag/myndasafn/Nordic_Adaption_14_2cir.pdf
not representative of present or future climate
conditions?
Winter mean T in Helsinki (1961-2008)
1961-
20081961-
1990
Temperature (°C)
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
d
e
n
s
i
t
y
-12 4
Simplest case: change in mean climate,
with no change in the magnitude of variability
If variability changes as well, the two tails of the distribution
(e.g., warm and cold) will be affected differently.
IPCC (2001
/media/ces/RaisanenJouni_CES_2010.pdf
l
l l l
5 10 15 20
−
1.
0
−
0.
8
−
0.
6
−
0.
4
−
0.
2
0.
0
method
De
g.
C
el
siu
s
ME T2m − Analysis
l vhm10
vhm19
vhm26
vhm64
vhm66
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
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5 10 15 20
2.
0
2.
2
2.
4
2.
6
2.
8
3.
0
method
D
eg
. C
el
siu
s
RMSE T2m − Analysis
l vhm10
vhm19
vhm26
vhm64
vhm66
Figure 3. Results of intercomparison of twenty different analogue methods. Mean error (left)
and RMSE
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_006.pdf
Journal of Environmental Management 88
Heid
, Øste
d
e
A broad range of tools are available for integrated water resource management (IWRM). In the EU research project NeWater, a
Human dependence on water leaves us vulnerable to
climate change, flood and drought hazards, and poverty
dynamic element of vulnerable groups and their relation-
ship to water resources, and to represent the decisions
/media/loftslag/Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management.pdf
Based on a report by
Verta et al. (2007)
92.
5
93.
0
93.
5
94.
0
94.
5
95.
0
M A MJ F J J A S O N D
Mean 19702000
Min and max 1970–2000,
natural rating curve
Target water level zone 1
Target water level zone 2
Q=+20%
Q=+10%
Q= 0%
Q=15%
Q=30%
92.90 m snow target 1
92.70 m snow target 2
Water level (m
)
Month
the regulation limits Lake Syväri has target water level zones, which are not legally
/media/ces/Water_resources_man_Veijalainen_etal.pdf
A (A1, A2, A3). ........................................................................................... 89
Figure B.2. Rake distribution for mapped faults/clusters in box B, Fagradalsfjall-W. ...... 90
Figure B.3. Rake distribution for mapped faults/clusters in box C, Fagdaralsfjall-E. ....... 90
Figure B.4. Rake distribution for mapped faults/clusters in box D, Kleifarvatn
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2010/2010_003rs.pdf
The
role of orography was found to be crucial in determining the precipitation dis-
tribution and amount.
Atmospheric flow over Iceland was simulated for the period January 1961
through June 2006 using version 3–7–3 of the PSU/NCAR MM5 mesoscale
model (Grell et al., 1995). The domain used is 123× 95 points, centered at
64◦ N and 19.5◦ W, with a horizontal resolution of 8 km. There are 23 vertical
/media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_91.pdf
; (1)
where N is the number of years between the elevation
maps, A1 is the average area (m2) of the ice cap over N
years, r is the scaling factor from the density of ice
(900 kg m3) to water (1000 kg m3),
DV D ¯hA2; (2)
is the total volume loss (m3), D ¯h is the N year area-
average elevation change (m) for the whole ice cap and
A2 is the maximum area (m2) of the ice cap.
In this study we use
/media/ces/Gudmundsson-etal-2011-PR-7282-26519-1-PB.pdf