A. Dunne, A. V. Vecchia, Nature 438,
347 (2005).
16. J. C. Knox, Quatern. Sci. Rev. 19, 439 (2000).
17. P. C. D. Milly, R. T. Wetherald, K. A. Dunne, T. L. Delworth,
Nature 415, 514 (2002).
18. Z. W. Kundzewicz et al., Hydrol. Sci. J. 50, 797 (2005).
19. R. Seager et al., Science 316, 1181 (2007).
20. IPCC, in Climate Change 2007: Mitigation of Climate
Change, Contribution of WG3 to AR4, B
/media/loftslag/Milly_etal-2008-Stationarity-dead-Science.pdf
(alb: AWS)
MODELLING LONG-TERM SUMMER AND WINTER BALANCES
? The authors 2009
Journal compilation ? 2009 Swedish Society for Anthropology and Geography 241
ed temperatures relative to –20°C to account for de-cay of snow albedo at temperatures below the melt-ing point, following a study by Winther (1993). Wetested both approaches, and chose to use –5°C asthe minimum for the accumulated temperature
/media/ces/GA_2009_91A_4_Andreassen.pdf
: Significant at 90% CL
Norwegian Meteorological Institute met.no
Fokstugu (973 m.a.s.l.)
Introduction Data & Methods Results
Trends in start and end:
Significant at 99% CL
/media/ces/Dyrrdal_Anita_CES_2010.pdf
Figure 53 Impact map for airports in case of an eruption like 1362 at Öræfajökull ................ 82
Figure 54 Impact map for power lines in case of an eruption like 1362 at Öræfajökull ......... 83
Figure 55 5% PM10 probability map for an eruption like 1362 at Öræfajökull. ...................... 84
Figure 56 25% PM10 probability map for an eruption like 1362 at Öræfajökull
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_004.pdf
(Quante and Colijn, 2016). Work on risk analysis and adaptation is in different
stages in the countries of the world.
Coastal floods have caused problems in Iceland in the past (Jóhannsdóttir, 2017) and are likely to do
so in the future as well. Large coastal floods can be expected in Iceland every 10 - 20 years and the
probability of such events can rise with climate change (Almannavarnir, 2011
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_005.pdf
was therefore formed
by ice lifting and deformation induced by subglacial water pressures higher than ice
overburden pressure.
The discharge data and the derived size of the subglacial flood path, as indicated
by the volume of water stored subglacially, indicates a development towards more
efficient subglacial flow over the course of the jökulhlaup. Thus, a discharge in the
iii
range 80–90 m3 s 1
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_006_tt.pdf
? – D Wheeler
Simulations of the impact of Arctic sea ice on the atmospheric circulation: the need for coupled
models – D Smith
Greenland Blocking and North Atlantic Oscillation changes – E Hanna / J Overland
Group Discussion
12:45 – 14:00 Lunch (after which we move into the matsalur - lunch hall)
14:00 – 15:40
14:00 – 14:20
14:20 – 14:40
14:40 – 15:00
15:00 – 15:20
15:20 – 15:40
/media/loftslag/Mid-Latitudes-Agenda1_nov2013EH.pdf
distribution of runoff under present and
future conditions, Plavinas HPP
0.0
200.0
400.0
600.0
800.0
1000.0
1200.0
1400.0
1600.0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
D
i
s
c
h
a
r
g
e
m
3
/
s
Observed 1961-90
SMHI-RCA3-BMC A1B 2021-50
DMI-HIRLAM-ECHAM5 A1B 2021-50
MetNo-HIRLAM-HadCM3 A1B 2021-50
Observed and modeled runoff , Plavinas
0.00
200.00
400.00
600.00
800.00
1000.00
1200.00
/media/ces/Kurpniece_Liga_CES_2010.pdf
750-1170
AAR of the warm year of 2004
- digitized using the October 2004 SPOT 5 HRS images
Ice cap
E: Eyjafjallajökull
To: Torfajökull
Ti: Tindfjallajökull
AAR (%)
20-25
<5
0
Method
References
Berthier E., Arnaud Y., Baratoux D., Vincent C. and Rémy F. 2004. Recent rapid thinning of the "Mer de Glace" glacier derived from satellite optical images.
Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L17401, doi:10.1029
/media/ces/glacier_mass_balance_poster.pdf