The majority of the grid cells show
no significant change, however a
rising trend towards the end of the
century is noted (red curve).
2071 -2100 relative to 1961-90 [%]
Rossby Centre
i l d l Declines No change Increases
Changes in % for grid cells
with significant changes
Activities and results
reg ona mo e
and ECHAM4
Rossby Centre
regional model
and HadAM3
ECHAM4: A2 0.1 73.2 26.7
ECHAM4: B2 0.1
/media/ces/ces_wind_flyer-hq.pdf
Wednesday 12. October
Session program Wednesday 12. October
Oral presentation are 20 minutes long, 15 minutes talk plus 5 minutes discussion
/norsem/norsem2016/program/wednesday
bodies of management,
decision-support, risk, and participation literature.
d’Aquino (2008)
Patrick d’Aquino relies on 20 years of
implementation and evaluation experience, mostly
in a natural resource management context and in
developing countries. His approach is, at this point,
the least conceptually developed design method of
the guides presented here, although it is linked to a
theoretical
/media/loftslag/vonKorff_etal-2010.pdf
in asphalt, road maintenace
Change: 30% more than BAU
Socio-economic scenario
Climate scenario
Worst case (4.4 C increase;
17 % increase in prec)
Best case (1.5 C increase; 2% increase in
prec)
BAU A B
Change +30 % C D
Spatial analogues:
- regions which today have a similar climate to the expected future one the study region (IPCC TAR,
2001)
- limited by possible lack
/media/loftslag/Group3-Road-scenarios.pdf
............................................................................................................... 8
PAST AND PRESENT CHANGES IN CLIMATE AND HYDROLOGY
Dyrrdal, A.V., Vikhamar-Schuler, D., Stranden, H.B. and Skaugen, T.
Analysis of past snow conditions in Norway – Time periods 1931-60, 1961-90 and 1979-08 ............................. 10
Crochet, P.
Impacts of historic climate variations on streamflow characteristics in Icelandic rivers
/media/ces/ces-oslo2010_proceedings.pdf
conditions as a lower
boundary condition from the driving GCM. The RCAO model-output is from a pan-arctic
run for the years 1960–2080 at approx. 50 km resolution. The first 20 years of the model run
must be considered as spin-up time for the ocean module. The RCAO run is experimental
since the model is in a development state and the output has not yet been evaluated over
Greenland (Ralf Döscher, personal
/media/ces/ces_geus_paakitsoq_full_report.pdf
750-1170
AAR of the warm year of 2004
- digitized using the October 2004 SPOT 5 HRS images
Ice cap
E: Eyjafjallajökull
To: Torfajökull
Ti: Tindfjallajökull
AAR (%)
20-25
<5
0
Method
References
Berthier E., Arnaud Y., Baratoux D., Vincent C. and Rémy F. 2004. Recent rapid thinning of the "Mer de Glace" glacier derived from satellite optical images.
Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L17401, doi:10.1029
/media/ces/glacier_mass_balance_poster.pdf