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Results:

• 1. VI_2014_006

  l l l l 5 10 15 20 − 1. 0 − 0. 8 − 0. 6 − 0. 4 − 0. 2 0. 0 method De g. C el siu s ME T2m − Analysis l vhm10 vhm19 vhm26 vhm64 vhm66 l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l 5 10 15 20 2. 0 2. 2 2. 4 2. 6 2. 8 3. 0 method D eg . C el siu s RMSE T2m − Analysis l vhm10 vhm19 vhm26 vhm64 vhm66 Figure 3. Results of intercomparison of twenty different analogue methods. Mean error (left) and RMSE /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_006.pdf

• 2. VI_2015_007

  50 years. The quality of the estimation was evaluated by cal- culating the relative root mean squared error of the quantile estimates for each site, and then the average over all sites was calculated (RMSET ): RMSET (%) = 1 N N i=1 v u u t1 L L l=1 Qi(D;Tl) bQi(D;Tl) Qi(D;Tl) 2 x100 (9) where Qi(D;Tl) is the reference flood quantile at gauged site i and return period Tl , calculated /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_007.pdf

• 3. VI_2013_008

  combinations indicate the type of river, with the first letter indicating the primary type. Direct runoff river (D), presence of lakes (S), glacier-fed river (J), groundwater (L). Gauging station vhm vhm vhm vhm vhm vhm 19 10 26 145 66 64 Name Dynjandisá Svartá Sandá Vestari- Hvítá Ölfusá Jökulsá Type of river D+L D+L D+L D+J+L L+J L+D+J+S Drainage area (km 2) 42 397 267 850 1664 5687 Mean altitude (m a.s.l /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf

• 4. VI_2015_009

  all sites was calculated (RMSET ): RMSET (%) = 1 N N i=1 v u u t1 L L l=1 Qi(D;Tl) bQi(D;Tl) Qi(D;Tl) 2 x100 (7) where Qi(D;Tl) is the reference flood quantile at gauged site i and return period Tl , calculated with the GEV distribution fitted to the observed AMF series and bQi(D;Tl) is the estimated flood quantile, calculated with the IFM ( bQi(D;T ) = bµi(D)qR(D;T )). RMSET was ranked /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_009.pdf

• 5. VI_2014_001

  i=1 1 L L l=1 Qi(D;Tl) bQi(D;Tl) Qi(D;Tl) x100; (13) RMSET (%) = 1 N N i=1 v u u t1 L L l=1 Qi(D;Tl) bQi(D;Tl) Qi(D;Tl) 2 x100; (14) where Qi(D;Tl) is the reference flood quantile at gauged site i and return period Tl , calculated with the GEV distribution from the observed AMF series and bQi(D;Tl) is the estimated flood quantile, calculated with the index flood method, (Eq. 1). 15 4 /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_001.pdf

• 6. 2012-Refsgaard_etal-uncertainty_climate-change-adaptation-MITI343

  in ty N at ur e o f u n ce rta in ty Inp ut dat a Mo de l Co ntex t Multi pl e knowl edg e fra m es Ambi guit y Ep istemi c un certaint y (re du cib le) Aleator y u n ce rta in ty (ir red uc ibl e) Pa ramete r val ue s Mode l techni ca l as pe ct s Mo de l st ru ct ur e G re en ho us e ga s em iss io ns X X X X X X X X X X Socio -econo m ic scena rio s X X X X X X X X X XX X X X Fu tu re cl im /media/loftslag/2012-Refsgaard_etal-uncertainty_climate-change-adaptation-MITI343.pdf

• 7. VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM

  h stat us an d goal s Locat io n — u n ce rta in tie s re la te d to So urc e o fun certaint y Natur e (1)/typ e(2 )o f u n ce rta in ty Co mment s R hin e at (su b-) catch m en tleve l W at er re so u rc es issu es Id en tif ica tio n an d pr io rit y settin g o fu rge nt wat er re so u rc es pr ob le m s; co n fli ct in g in te re sts amon g sector s an d stakeh older s M ul tip le fra m es (so /media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf

• 8. IPPC-2007-ar4_syr

  Ravindranath, Andy Reisinger, Jiawen Ren, Keywan Riahi, Cynthia Rosenzweig, Matilde Rusticucci, Stephen Schneider, Youba Sokona, Susan Solomon, Peter Stott, Ronald Stouffer, Taishi Sugiyama, Rob Swart, Dennis Tirpak, Coleen Vogel, Gary Yohe Extended Writing Team Terry Barker Review Editors Abdelkader Allali, Roxana Bojariu, Sandra Diaz, Ismail Elgizouli, Dave Griggs, David Hawkins, Olav Hohmeyer, Bubu /media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf

• 9. Moellenkampetal_etal-2010

  (Ker Rault and Jeffrey 2008). Further justification for participatory water management processes stems from the observation that it is increasingly rare that any water manager or single governance structure has the necessary 1Centre for Policy Innovation, The Australian National University, 2The Fenner School of Environment and Society, The Australian National University, 3Gestion de l’Eau /media/loftslag/Moellenkampetal_etal-2010.pdf

• 10. ces-oslo2010_proceedings

  ...................................... 12 Kriauciuniene, J., Reihan, A., Kolcova, T., Meilutyte-Barauskiene, D. and Lizuma, L. Regional temperature, precipitation and runoff series in the Baltic countries ...................................................... 14 Fleig, A.K., Tallaksen, L.M., Hisdal, H. and Hannah, D.M. Regional hydrological drought in north-western Europe and associated weather types /media/ces/ces-oslo2010_proceedings.pdf