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the com-
plexity of the hydrological processes through modelling, but its application is usually limited to
the short-range. Although the results demonstrated a great potential for this method, its success-
ful application in real-time will strongly depend on the quality and availability of streamflow
observations, which can be poor or simply missing during periods of variable durations, e.g
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_006.pdf
of these two gradients in
the south–north direction (l = i) and west–east direction (l = j). The best analogue with respect
to the shape of the MSLP field at time t is the MSLP field at time u that minimizes S1. This
score has been used by e.g. Obled et al. (2002), Wetterhall et al. (2005) and Marty et al. (2012)
with either MSLP or geopotential height, to forecast precipitation. It was also applied
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf
M A M J J A
lllllllllllll
0 100 200 300
30
0
50
0
70
0
Day since 1st Sept.
Q
m³
/s
VHM 265
S O N D J F M A M J J A
lllllllllll
0 100 200 300
20
0
30
0
40
0
50
0
Day since 1st Sept.
Q
m³
/s
VHM 277
S O N D J F M A M J J A
lllllllllll
0 100 200 300
10
20
30
40
50
Day since 1st Sept.
Q
m³
/s
VHM 278
S O N D J F M A M J J A
Figure 2. Time of occurrence of the annual
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_007.pdf
estimates are obtained for catchments where bµ(D) is most biased, e.g. vhm116.
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5 10 15 20
40
60
80
10
0
12
0
14
0
IFM no.
%
Figure 4. Estimated instantaneous flood quantiles with the IFM, at gauged sites treated
as ungauged. Mean relative quantile RMSE (RMSET ) for the different index flood models.
Large symbol corresponds to the model giving the best/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_009.pdf
(RMSET ) (top) and
bias (BIAST ) (bottom) for Region 1. The solid blue and red lines correspond to results ob-
tained with the index flood method developed with WaSiM simulations within catchments
vhm51 and vhm52, respectively. Best model with respect to RMSET is indicated by large
symbol.
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1 2 3 4 5 6
0
10
20
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40
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Mean relative RMSE for daily
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_001.pdf
with whom a slot is proposed to
be swapped.
In the closing session on Friday afternoon another two Workshop participants will be offered the
opportunity of presenting a brief summary of key impressions and messages (2 x 5 minutes). This will
require some degree of co-ordination among the rapporteurs. The Conference organizers need to know in
time (Friday morning at the latest) who will present
/media/loftslag/programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference.pdf
in objectives and in
our risk willingness to accept a lower reliability for supply of clean drinking water without
causing adverse environmental effects. These measures could have major impacts on
environment and agriculture. Similarly, the envisaged adaptation with respect to roads
include both structural and non-structural measures such as new designs, real-time flood
Fig. 4 Probability of mean
N
/media/loftslag/2012-Refsgaard_etal-uncertainty_climate-change-adaptation-MITI343.pdf
and obtain the most recent information on the ongoing
events: the eruption status, possible hazards and likely scenarios.
Earthquake and cGPS data processing enabled real-time monitoring
of the rifting. At the start of the dyke intrusion, new updated models
of the dyke volume were presented at these meetings near daily.
The rapid growth of the dyke called for a quick response; additional
seismic
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf
to a theoretical mean
sea level calculated from annual means where uplift and sea level rise have been taken into account
(SMHI, 2016). Not only real-time and historical sea level data can be downloaded from the SMHI
website, but also ocean temperature-, wave-, current-, vertical profile chemistry-, marine biology-
and marine weather data can be found there.
The UK National Tide Gauge Network
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_005.pdf