Horst Machguth, Andreas Ahlstrøhm,
GEUS, Copenhagen
Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice
Sheet in the Paakitsoq Area, Illulisat, West
Greenland - Scenarios and Related Uncertainties
2 / 16
previous work
A. P. Ahlstrøm
Paakitsup Akuliarusersua
(Paakitsoq)
Thomsen & Olesen
(1990)
2 / 16
previous work
Paakitsup Akuliarusersua
(Paakitsoq)
Thomsen (1989)
Thomsen & Olesen (1991)
glacial
/media/ces/Machguth_Horst_CES_2010.pdf
of uncertainty (statistical uncertainty, scenario
uncertainty, qualitative uncertainty, recognised ignorance and total ignorance) as well as the nature
of uncertainy (epistemic and onthological uncertainty). Finally, the presentation will briefly
introduce different types of methodologies for uncertainty characterisation and assessment.
References:
Walker WE, Harremoës P, Rotmans J, Van der Sluijs
/media/loftslag/Jens_Christian_Refsgaard_(GEUS,_Dk).pdf
will review a set of stakeholder involvement and
decision making issues with the above outline as backdrop.
References:
[1] Marttila, V., Granholm, H., Laanikari, J., Yrjölä, T., Aalto, A., Heikinheimo, P., Honkatukia, J., Järvinen,
H., Liski, J., Merivirta, R. & Paunio, M. 2005. Finland’s National Strategy for Adaptation to Climate Change.
MMM Publication 1a/2005. 276 pp.
[2] Kokkarianen, V
/media/loftslag/CASE_B__Heikki_Tuomenvirta_(FMI)_Introduction.pdf
Spatial perception of flood hazard in the urban area of Selfoss
Emmanuel P. Pagneux 1, 2
1 Icelandic Meteorological Office
Grensásvegur 9 – 108 Reykjavík – ICELAND
2 Department of Geography and Tourism
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences / School of Engineering and Sciences
University of Iceland
Aska, Sturlugata 7 – 101 Reykjavík – ICELAND
Email: emmanuel@vedur.is
/media/loftslag/Spatial_perception_of_flood_hazard_in_the_urban_area_of_Selfoss,_Iceland.pdf
this in a real planning process
• Robust measures
• Uncertainties
• Synergies and tradeoffs
Thank you
References
• Pictures in order of occurence:
• http://www.ecoboot.nl/ecoboot_new/?p=351
• http://www.edie.net/products/view_entry.asp?id=4984&channel=0&title=Flood+P
rotection+and+Flow+Control+Specialists
• http://progressivetimes.wordpress.com/2011/02/10/indoor-farming-may-be-
organics
/media/loftslag/Group2-PresentationWithPictures[1].pdf
) and changing climate (CC:CC)
1. Current climate (CU)
- varying thinning regimes
(0%, 15%, 30%,45%)
2. Changing climate (CC)
- varying thinning regimes
(0%, 15%, 30%,45%)
3. Current (CU) &
changing climate (CC)
- current thinning regime
4. Current (CU) &
changing climate (CC)
- changed thinning regimes
C
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p/media/ces/CES_BioFuels_Flyer_new.pdf
of
temperature anomaly
(ºC) between 1991-2007
and 1961-1990
Variation of annual T
anomaly (ºC)
between 1991-2007
and 1961-1990
Seasonal differences of P
anomaly (in %)
between 1991-2007 and
1961-1990
Seasonal differences of Q
anomaly (in %) between
1991-2007 and 1961-1990
Variation of annual P and Q
anomaly (%)
between 1991-2007
and 1961-1990
-40
-25
-10
5
20
35
50
1
9
2
0
1
9
4
0
1
9
6
/media/ces/Kriauciuniene_Jurate_CES_2010.pdf
the
system works’ ( Q3Mulligan and Wainwright, 2005, p. 14). This might include paper- or computer-based representa-
tions of a system’s ontological model (i.e. key system components and their structural relationships). A common
representation is a directed graph in which components are visualized by nodes and relationships by directed
arrows between nodes (e.g. causal diagrams or inuence diagrams
/media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf
observed close to epicenter of
the events. The landslides occurred in places where there are steep slopes and
debris and landslides have taken place before. The Icelandic Coast Guard flew
an observation flight in the area with staff members from the IMO to inspect
unstable slopes and recent landslides on 21st of June.Compared to previous earthquake
swarms in the area it is expected
/about-imo/news/a-strong-earthquake-swarm-offshore-north-iceland