Horst Machguth, Andreas Ahlstrøhm,
GEUS, Copenhagen
Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice
Sheet in the Paakitsoq Area, Illulisat, West
Greenland - Scenarios and Related Uncertainties
2 / 16
previous work
A. P. Ahlstrøm
Paakitsup Akuliarusersua
(Paakitsoq)
Thomsen & Olesen
(1990)
2 / 16
previous work
Paakitsup Akuliarusersua
(Paakitsoq)
Thomsen (1989)
Thomsen & Olesen (1991)
glacial
/media/ces/Machguth_Horst_CES_2010.pdf
of uncertainty (statistical uncertainty, scenario
uncertainty, qualitative uncertainty, recognised ignorance and total ignorance) as well as the nature
of uncertainy (epistemic and onthological uncertainty). Finally, the presentation will briefly
introduce different types of methodologies for uncertainty characterisation and assessment.
References:
Walker WE, Harremoës P, Rotmans J, Van der Sluijs
/media/loftslag/Jens_Christian_Refsgaard_(GEUS,_Dk).pdf
will review a set of stakeholder involvement and
decision making issues with the above outline as backdrop.
References:
[1] Marttila, V., Granholm, H., Laanikari, J., Yrjölä, T., Aalto, A., Heikinheimo, P., Honkatukia, J., Järvinen,
H., Liski, J., Merivirta, R. & Paunio, M. 2005. Finland’s National Strategy for Adaptation to Climate Change.
MMM Publication 1a/2005. 276 pp.
[2] Kokkarianen, V
/media/loftslag/CASE_B__Heikki_Tuomenvirta_(FMI)_Introduction.pdf
Spatial perception of flood hazard in the urban area of Selfoss
Emmanuel P. Pagneux 1, 2
1 Icelandic Meteorological Office
Grensásvegur 9 – 108 Reykjavík – ICELAND
2 Department of Geography and Tourism
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences / School of Engineering and Sciences
University of Iceland
Aska, Sturlugata 7 – 101 Reykjavík – ICELAND
Email: emmanuel@vedur.is
/media/loftslag/Spatial_perception_of_flood_hazard_in_the_urban_area_of_Selfoss,_Iceland.pdf
this in a real planning process
• Robust measures
• Uncertainties
• Synergies and tradeoffs
Thank you
References
• Pictures in order of occurence:
• http://www.ecoboot.nl/ecoboot_new/?p=351
• http://www.edie.net/products/view_entry.asp?id=4984&channel=0&title=Flood+P
rotection+and+Flow+Control+Specialists
• http://progressivetimes.wordpress.com/2011/02/10/indoor-farming-may-be-
organics
/media/loftslag/Group2-PresentationWithPictures[1].pdf
) and changing climate (CC:CC)
1. Current climate (CU)
- varying thinning regimes
(0%, 15%, 30%,45%)
2. Changing climate (CC)
- varying thinning regimes
(0%, 15%, 30%,45%)
3. Current (CU) &
changing climate (CC)
- current thinning regime
4. Current (CU) &
changing climate (CC)
- changed thinning regimes
C
l
i
m
a
t
e
s
c
e
n
a
r
i
o
s
M
ea
s
u
r
e
m
en
t
s
o
f
c
l
i
m
a
t
e
p/media/ces/CES_BioFuels_Flyer_new.pdf
;
mayo
ran
d
governmen
t
of
cer
s
F
M
(si
m
u
lat
ion
m
od
el)
M
F
Tabl
e2
.
Ca
te
go
riz
at
io
n
ta
bl
e
fo
r
th
e
ex
am
pl
es
o
fF
AB
E
ap
pr
o
ac
he
s
to
pa
rt
ic
ip
at
o
ry
m
o
de
llin
g.
A
ce
ll
in
th
e
‘
pa
rt
ic
ip
at
o
ry
m
o
de
llin
g
st
ag
e’
ca
n
be
interprete
d
in
th
e
fo
llo
w
in
g
m
an
n
er
:
w
he
re
th
er
e
is
n
o
st
ak
eh
o
ld
er
in
vo
lve
m
en
t,
N
O
P
is
w
rit
te
n
.
W
he
re
th
/media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf
on 19th of June offshore North Iceland, NE of Siglufjörður. Three earthquakes
above M5.0 have occurred since the swarm started. On 20th of June a M5.4
earthquake occurred at 15:05 and a M5.6 at 19:26. Both these earthquakes were
located around 20 km NE of Siglufjörður. The largest earthquake of the swarm
occurred on 21st of June at 19:07 and was M5.8. It was located around 35 km NNE
/about-imo/news/a-strong-earthquake-swarm-offshore-north-iceland