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/media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf
the two periods: from -0.2 to 0.2 m yr-1 w. eq. during
first period 1979/1984-1998 to -1.8 to -1.5 m yr-1 w. eq. for the more recent period 1998 to
2004. This declining mass balance takes place at the same time as the average regional
temperatures increased by ~1 °C from the first to the second period (1980-1998 to 1998 to
2004).
Location
Data
Eyjafjallajökull (E), Tindfjallajökull (Ti
/media/ces/glacier_mass_balance_poster.pdf
in the period 6th to the 22nd, eight from ships and one from land. The icebergs were closest to land at 66°28,81'N og 21°23,86'V and close to Selsker (66°07,5N og 21°31'V).
No seaice was in the Greenland Strait in August and northeasterly winds prevailed in the area
/sea-ice/monthly/2009/nr/2330
2008)
together with a regression line through this data set and a regression line derived for a data set
of more than a hundred valley glaciers (Bahr and others, 1997). The regression lines are of the
form
v = csg ; (5)
where v and s are glacier volume and area, respectively. The coefficient and exponent for the
Icelandic ice caps are c = 0:048, g = 1:23, when the area and volume are expressed
/media/ces/ces-glacier-scaling-memo2009-01.pdf
2005 until 2100 and select two periods as
a focus of this study; the mid-century (2041-2060) and the late-century (2081-2100).
Furthermore, we choose RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 as emission scenarios. The numbers 4.5 and
8.5 indicated the possible radiative forcing in W/m2 in the year 2100 compared to pre-
industrial values, and are a measure of the strength of the anthropogenic greenhouse effect
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2017/VI_2017_009.pdf
100
15 17 19 21 23 25
Mean annual peak runoff (mm/day)
P
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g39g72g79g87g68g3g70g75g68g81g74g72g3
g40g80g83g76g85g76g70g68g79g3g68g71g77g88g86g87g80g72g81g87
Percentage change in 200-year flood
Uncertainty – Relative magnitude of
sampled s urces
N = 115
GCM/RCM = 50
EA/DC = 38
HBV = 27
• Differences in GCM/RCM
tend to be more significant
in inland
/media/ces/Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010.pdf