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  • 51. Climate and Modeling Scenarios

    Clausen, N.-E., Pryor, S. C., Guo Larsén, X., Hyvönen, R., Venäläinen, A., Suvilampi, E., Kjellström, E., Barthelmie, R. (2009). Are we facing increasing extreme winds in the future? EWEC 2009 Marseille session DT2A, 19 March 2009. Engen-Skaugen,T & Førland, E.J. (2010). Future change in return values and extreme precipitation at selected catchments in Norway, met.no Report 20/2010 (draft). Engen /ces/publications/nr/1680
  • 52. Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_91

    The role of orography was found to be crucial in determining the precipitation dis- tribution and amount. Atmospheric flow over Iceland was simulated for the period January 1961 through June 2006 using version 3–7–3 of the PSU/NCAR MM5 mesoscale model (Grell et al., 1995). The domain used is 123× 95 points, centered at 64◦ N and 19.5◦ W, with a horizontal resolution of 8 km. There are 23 vertical /media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_91.pdf
  • 53. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

    in development/policy • Plausible futures • No ‘desired’ future (no ‘doom or gloom’) EURURALIS: Model chain EU 25 arable and pasture land 160000 170000 180000 190000 200000 2000 2010 2020 2030 year # kh a A1 A2 B1 B2 EURURALIS: GTAP/IMAGE model EURURALIS: CLUE model Example 1c: MedAction Focus on participation and storylines Example 3: MedAction Land use change scenarios at various scales To better /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf
  • 54. Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS

    Discrete numerical Categorical Narrative Constant in space and time A1 A2 A3 4Varies in time, not in space B1 B2 B3 Varies in space, not in time C1 C2 C3 It is noticed that the matrix is in reality three-dimensional (source, type, nature). Thus, the categories type and nature are not mutually exclusive, and it may be argued that the ma- trix should be modified in such a way that the two uncer /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf
  • 55. VI_2014_001

    6 0 20 40 60 80 10 0 12 0 14 0 −ln(−ln(1−1/T)) Q( T) (m ?s) 1 2 5 10 20 50 100 T (years) l Obs. WaSiM vhm51 heM 95?bh ??Obs 95?bh ??W aSiM 95?bh heM Annual max. Q : GEV Distributions for vhm51 Index flood model no. 6 l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l −2 0 2 4 6 0 50 10 0 15 0 −ln(−ln(1−1/T)) Q( T) (m ?s) 1 2 5 10 20 50 100 T (years) l Obs. WaSiM vhm52 heM 95?bh Obs 95?bh /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_001.pdf
  • 56. 2010_003rs

    and May. ............................................................................... 94 Figure B.8. Rake distribution for mapped faults/clusters in box H, Hengill, active between June and December. .......................................................................... 95 Figure B.9. Rake distribution for mapped faults/clusters in box I, Flói. ............................. 96 Figure B /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2010/2010_003rs.pdf
  • 57. VI_2009_013

    Ito, K. (1990). Regional variations of the cutoff depth of seismicity in the crust and their relation to heat flow and large inland-earthquakes, J. Phys. Earth., 38, 223–250. Jakobsdóttir, S. S., G. B. Guðmundsson and R. S. Stefánsson (2002). Seismicity in Iceland 1991–2000 monitored by the SIL seismic system. Jökull, 51, 8794. Jakobsdóttir, S. S., M. J. Roberts, G. B. Guðmundsson, H /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_013.pdf
  • 58. ces_geus_paakitsoq_full_report

    conditions as a lower boundary condition from the driving GCM. The RCAO model-output is from a pan-arctic run for the years 1960–2080 at approx. 50 km resolution. The first 20 years of the model run must be considered as spin-up time for the ocean module. The RCAO run is experimental since the model is in a development state and the output has not yet been evaluated over Greenland (Ralf Döscher, personal /media/ces/ces_geus_paakitsoq_full_report.pdf
  • 59. CASE_A___Jes_Pedersen_(Region_Midt,_Dk)_Introduction

    is formed by glacial deposits. The average depth is 5 meters and the residence time of water in the fjord is about 20 days. As to tidal variations the amplitude is about 0.4 meters. Horsens fjord consists of marine coastal ecosystems. There are three fairly large islands with cultivated land and scattered habitation. One of the most important plant community on the islands are along the East coast /media/loftslag/CASE_A___Jes_Pedersen_(Region_Midt,_Dk)_Introduction.pdf
  • 60. Case_A___Horsens_Fjord

    is formed by glacial deposits. The average depth is 5 meters and the residence time of water in the fjord is about 20 days. As to tidal variations the amplitude is about 0.4 meters. Horsens fjord consists of marine coastal ecosystems. There are three fairly large islands with cultivated land and scattered habitation. One of the most important plant community on the islands are along the East coast /media/loftslag/Case_A___Horsens_Fjord.pdf

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