0.95
vhm149 1.46
vhm205 1.01
vhm206 1.28
vhm221 0.9
vhm265 1.16
vhm277 0.87
vhm278 -0.12
18
l
l l l
l
llll
l
llll
lll
ll
lll
lllll
lllll
ll l
l l
l
l
l l
l l
l
l
−2 0 2 4 6
0
1
2
3
4
−ln(−ln(1−1/T))
Q/
E[
Q]
1 2 5 10 20 50 100
T (years)
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
vhm148
vhm149
vhm205
vhm206
vhm221
vhm265
vhm277
vhm278
Regional +/− 95% CI
H1 0.995
H2 −0.877
l
l
l
l
l
l l l l
l
l
l l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_007.pdf
emission scenario were even
greater, on average 5.1% units (Fig. 5), indicating that the GCMs are
a greater source of uncertainty than the choice of emission sce-
nario or RCM.
The flow regimes in different regions in Finland are demon-
strated with the five example hydrographs of the reference period
and of 2070–2099 (Fig. 8a–e, see Fig. 1c for locations). In northern
(Fig. 8a) and central (Fig. 8b/media/ces/Journal_of_Hydrology_Veijalainen_etal.pdf
scale, used to identify weather analogues. These fields are
extracted twice daily (00UTC and 12UTC) on a 1 x 1 latitude-longitude grid from the
ECMWF operational analysis and forecasts available for the period 2001–2006. The ana-
logue meteorological situations are extracted from the ERA-40 reanalysis archive (Uppala
et al., 2005) for the period 1958–2001.
14
Predictants:
Gridded series of daily
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_006.pdf