(a) annual maximum temperature (b)
and annual minimum temperature (c) as simulated by the ensemble of 9 CMIP3 AOGCMs for
2046-2065 relative to 1980-1999. Units are K. Dots denote grid boxes for which signal-to-noise
ratio is greater than 1.
a)
b)
c)
d)
Fig.2 Same as in Fig.1 but for changes in heat (a) and cold (c) wave
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_VMGO.pdf
average temperature change, the upper ranges of sea
level rise for SRES scenarios shown in Table 3.1 would increase by
0.1 to 0.2m.13 {WGI 10.6, SPM}
Table 3.1. Projected global average surface warming and sea level rise at the end of the 21st century. {WGI 10.5, 10.6, Table 10.7, Table SPM.3}
Temperature change Sea level rise
(°C at 2090-2099 relative to 1980-1999) a, d (m at 2090-2099 relative
/media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf
-scale Category
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F
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Permanent Homes
Casualties and Timing
Casualties and Time of Day
150
200
250
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Fatalities
0
50
100
Overnight Morning Early Afternoon Late Afternoon Late Evening
I
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Injuries
Nocturnal Tornadoes
7
8
9
10
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/media/loftslag/Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation.pdf
of stationarity was
Climate change undermines a basic assumption
that historically has facilitated management of
water supplies, demands, and risks.
Stationarity Is Dead:
Whither Water Management?
P. C. D. Milly,1* Julio Betancourt,2 Malin Falkenmark,3 Robert M. Hirsch,4 Zbigniew W.
Kundzewicz,5 Dennis P. Lettenmaier,6 Ronald J. Stouffer7
CLIMATE CHANGE
1U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), c/o National Oceanic
/media/loftslag/Milly_etal-2008-Stationarity-dead-Science.pdf
a procedure proposed by Peschke (1987). The
Richards-approach was used for modelling vertical water fluxes in the unsaturated zone, coupled
dynamically with a 2-D groundwater flow model for base flow generation. The hydraulic prop-
erties of the soil are parameterised according to Van Genuchten (1976). A module solving the
heat flux balance in the soil is available but had not yet been tested at the time
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_006.pdf
in the volcanic cloud. The more abundant gases present are
SO2, CO2, HCl, HF, H2O.
In the first month and half we had an averaged flux equals to 400 kg/s (~35 kT/d) with peaks up to 1300
kg/s (~112 kT/d). Assuming a constant release of gas until today, the eruption has injected into the
atmosphere an amount of SO2 in the range 3.5 Mt (considering the average flux) – 11.2 Mt (considering
the peak
/media/jar/bb100days_ens.pdf
)
Best case (1.5 C increase; 2%
increase in prec)
BAU A B
Change +30 % C D
Scenario
combination
Impact
Adaptation measures
North South North South
A *
CC: Possible increase in the
amount of snow more
snow clearing increase in
operational costs
S-E: increase in traffic
volume increased wear of
roads increase in
maintenance cost.
**
CC: Possibly less snow,
more rain
/media/loftslag/Group3-The-future-of-the-Finnish-national-road-network.pdf
technologies are
being implemented which will provide a platform for a possible future ICS-D (distributed components
of the Integrated Core Services) for EPOS.
Planning and site selection process for the new instrument installations are well underway as well as
the procurement of the required equipment. In total 17 new seismological and geodetic stations will be
co-located in selected sites in Northern
/media/norsem/norsem_atakan_norway.pdf