and distribution network are all identified
a section at a time. In some cases, however, it might
be more valuable to focus only on a certain part of
functional model.
Fig.1. Functional Model.
The results of the risk analysis are represented
visually in a fourfold table. (Fig.2) The main idea of the
table is to provide a readily interpretable overview of
h hi hli h d i k d i i i l i
Having already been
/media/ces/ces_risk_flyer.pdf
-OBS data set (ver. 1.1) (Haylock et al., 2008)
Data and method
Variables (daily)
max and min 2m temperature
max 10m gust wind (Brasseur 2001 )
accumulated precipitation
Extreme events
the generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution
the 20-year return values of
annual max/min temperature and max gust wind
summer and winter maximum of precipitation
fitting the GEV: stationary model, L-moments
/media/ces/Nikulin_Grigory_CES_2010.pdf