20–30 years. It will address how the conditions for
production of renewable energy in the Nordic area might change due to global warming. It will focus on the
potential production and the future safety of the production systems as well as uncertainties.
Risk Assessment
The target user group for the tool, which is aimed to
be a first step in determining a strategy for identifying
potential risks
/media/ces/ces_risk_flyer.pdf
-OBS data set (ver. 1.1) (Haylock et al., 2008)
Data and method
Variables (daily)
max and min 2m temperature
max 10m gust wind (Brasseur 2001 )
accumulated precipitation
Extreme events
the generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution
the 20-year return values of
annual max/min temperature and max gust wind
summer and winter maximum of precipitation
fitting the GEV: stationary model, L-moments
/media/ces/Nikulin_Grigory_CES_2010.pdf