G
u
i
n
e
a
B
a
r
r
i
e
n
to
s
P
a
t
r
i
c
k
D
r
i
s
c
o
l
l
A
n
j
a
W
e
j
s
T
o
mm
y
C
h
a
n
K
a
r
o
l
i
i
n
a
P
i
l
l
i
-
S
i
h
v
o
l
a
J
u
s
s
i
Y
l
h
ä
i
s
i
K
a
r
e
n
L
u
n
d
g
r
e
n
V
ä
i
n
ö
N
u
r
m
i
J
i
a
o
X
i
H
a
n
s
-
P
a
u
l
V
e
l
e
m
a
p
l
e
n
a
r
y
1
(
o
p
e
n
i
n
g
)
X
s
e
s
s
i
o
n
1
.
1
X
s
e
s
s
i
o
n
1
.
2
X
s
e
s
s
i
o
n
1
.
3
X
s
e
s
s
i
o
n
1
/media/loftslag/Guidelines2-for-rapporteurs.pdf
course – Adaptive management in relation to climate change – Copenhagen 21-26/8/2011
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
6
Figure 1. Flow chart summarizing information and decision flows of an adaptive management inspired
adaptation planning cycle for road transport (at national strategic / tactical level)
M
a
n
d
a
t
e
f
r
o
m
g
o
v
e
r
n
m
e
n
t
+
p
r
/media/loftslag/Outline_for_the_case_Road_maintenance_in_a_changing_climate.pdf
Airborne Measurements of Volcanic Ash - results from Eyja and the new Met Office Civil
Contingency Aircraft Jonathan P. Taylor, UK Met Office
11:15 Observational systems for monitoring of volcanic ash Sibylle von Löwis, Geirfinnur S.
Sigurðarson, IMO
11:45 NAME dispersion model, an introduction Jonathan P. Taylor, UK Met Office
12:15 – 13:30 Lunch break
The volcanic ash problem
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/hlidarefni/program17012012.pdf
i
on
c
a
p
ac
i
t
y
A
r
ea
of
r
e
s
i
d
en
c
e
(Flood
p
r
one
/non
p
r
one
a
r
eas)
Un
c
e
r
t
a
n
t
i
e
s
H
i
g
h
wi
l
l
i
n
g
n
e
s
s
t
o
p
a
y
L
o
w
wi
l
l
i
n
g
nes
to pay
D
i
k
e
s
H
i
gh
t
a
x
a
t
i
on
-
E
arly
w
arn
i
n
g
s
y
s
t
e
m
s
-
Sof
t
s
t
r
uct
u
r
a
l
m
e
as
u
r
e
s
-Community training
L
o
w
taxation
Risk
P
e
r
c
e
p
t
i
o
n
B
e
n
e
f
i
/media/loftslag/Group-1_Scenarios-for-AWM.pdf
developments (European Commission, Directorate-General for Research, Publication EUR 23339, 2009, ISBN 978-92-79-08885-8, ISSN 1018-5593, DOI 10.2777/12871. Edited by T. Jóhannesson, P. Gauer, P. Issler and K. Lied. Contributions by M. Barbolini, U. Domaas, T. Faug, P. Gauer, K. M. Hákonardóttir, C. B. Harbitz, D. Issler, T. Jóhannesson, K. Lied, M. Naaim, F. Naaim-Bouvet and L. Rammer) (pdf 1.6 Mb; high
/avalanches/imo/protective/
be ordered at the EU Bookshop and it can be accessed on the web both as PDF suitable for the screen (1.5 Mb) and in higher resolution suitable for printing (27.9 Mb).
Edited by T. Jóhannesson of the Icelandic Meteorological Office and by P. Gauer, P. Issler and K. Lied of the Norwegian Geotechnical Institute. Contributions by M. Barbolini, U. Domaas, T. Faug, P. Gauer, K. M. Hákonardóttir, C. B
/about-imo/news/nr/1631
Horst Machguth, Andreas Ahlstrøhm,
GEUS, Copenhagen
Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice
Sheet in the Paakitsoq Area, Illulisat, West
Greenland - Scenarios and Related Uncertainties
2 / 16
previous work
A. P. Ahlstrøm
Paakitsup Akuliarusersua
(Paakitsoq)
Thomsen & Olesen
(1990)
2 / 16
previous work
Paakitsup Akuliarusersua
(Paakitsoq)
Thomsen (1989)
Thomsen & Olesen (1991)
glacial
/media/ces/Machguth_Horst_CES_2010.pdf
of uncertainty (statistical uncertainty, scenario
uncertainty, qualitative uncertainty, recognised ignorance and total ignorance) as well as the nature
of uncertainy (epistemic and onthological uncertainty). Finally, the presentation will briefly
introduce different types of methodologies for uncertainty characterisation and assessment.
References:
Walker WE, Harremoës P, Rotmans J, Van der Sluijs
/media/loftslag/Jens_Christian_Refsgaard_(GEUS,_Dk).pdf