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Results:

• 1. Perrels-CBA

  e rig ht fr am ew or ks ? Id en tif y & a ck no w le dg e w he re b es t t o re du ce u nc er ta in ty 26.8.2011Adriaan Perrels/IL 18 Uncertainty 3 – (partial) remedies • Retrospective and prospective approaches • (statistical) sensitivity analysis (data; parameters) • error propagation analysis (how deviations develop in a model) • benchmarking (accuracy compared to other models /media/loftslag/Perrels-CBA.pdf

• 2. Keskitalo_et_al-MLG_and_adaptation_FINAL

  /media/loftslag/Keskitalo_et_al-MLG_and_adaptation_FINAL.pdf

• 3. Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change

  at the operational/local level. A calibrated approach (standardized questionnaires and interviews, expert judgment, and reinterpretation of out- comes by means of relevant literature) was used to com- pare the state of affairs in water management in the selected case-studies. Adaptive and integrated water management Given the expected increase of climate-related extreme events, water governance capabilities /media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf

• 4. VI_2020_004

  & Höskuldsson, 2008; Thordarson & Larsen, 2007). Highly active volcanic systems as Hekla, Katla, Bárðarbunga and Grímsvötn, have explosive eruptions rates of 82%, 97%, 90% and 95%, respectively (Gudmundsson & Larsen, 2016; Larsen & Gudmundsson, 2016b, 2016a; Larsen & Thordarson, 2016). Volcanic eruptions are quite common in Iceland and occur on average every two to five years (Larsen & Eiríksson /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_004.pdf

• 5. IPPC-2007-ar4_syr

  (-33%) during 1970 to 2004 has been smaller than the com- bined effect of global income growth (77%) and global population growth (69%); both drivers of increasing energy-related CO2 emis- sions. The long-term trend of declining CO2 emissions per unit of en- ergy supplied reversed after 2000. {WGIII 1.3, Figure SPM.2, SPM} Differences in per capita income, per capita emissions and energy /media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf

• 6. VI_2017_009

  that a certain hypothesis was not investigated in a certain paper. Paper A B C D Jóhannesson et al. (2007) ? Opposite true True True Ministry for the Environment (2008) True True Inconclusive ? Nawri and Björnsson (2010) True True True ? Vavrus et al. (2012) ? True True ? Koenigk et al. (2013) True True True Opposite true Koenigk et al. (2015) True True True ? This report (2016) True /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2017/VI_2017_009.pdf

• 7. VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM

  /media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf

• 8. Traffc-maintenance_expenditures

  Manage- Basic Purchase Road Road net- Const- Acquisi- Govern- Com- Participati- Value Miscel- Total 2009 ment and road of equip- system work post- ruction tion of ment missi- on of the added laneous cost operating manage- ment develop- poned-, of land grants ons European tax over- level costs ment ment comprehen- build- and com- Regional De- heads 1991- 1991- sive- and ings pensation /media/loftslag/Traffc-maintenance_expenditures.pdf

• 9. Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010

  °C/100y 1975-2000 • 2.35 °C/100y 2000- •Change in precipitation • Average increase 4.8% / 100 y • Range 3.3 – 7.2 % •Glaciers • Results from CES • 25% decrease in volume from 2000 to 2050 Temperature transformation Com parison of series 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 22000 1 9 5 0 1 9 5 2 1 9 5 4 1 9 5 6 1 9 5 8 1 9 6 0 1 9 6 2 1 9 6 4 1 9 6 6 1 9 6 8 1 9 7 0 1 9 7 2 1 9 7 4 1 9 7 6 1 9 7 8 1 /media/ces/Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010.pdf

• 10. ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN

  /lexuriserv/lexuriserv.do?uri=com:2007:0002:FIN:EN:PDF, 13 April 2009. [2] WTO, World Tourism Organization (2008): “Climate Change and Tourism - Responding to Global Challenges”, UNWTO, 9 July 2008, Madrid, Spain. Available at: http://www.unwto.org/media/news/en/press_det.php?id=1411&idioma=E, 7 March 2010. [3] Mooney, J.E. y Miller, M.L. (2009): “Climate change: Creating demand for sustainable /media/loftslag/ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN.pdf