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  • 11. Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management

    the body of knowledge in any given area by mapping out cause-and-effect relationships among key variables and encoding them with numbers that represent the extent to which one variable is likely to affect another (Jensen, 2002). Factors, associations and probabilities can be adjusted and validated and BNs are powerful for integrating data and knowledge from different sources and domains, e.g /media/loftslag/Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management.pdf
  • 12. Journal_of_Hydrology_Veijalainen_etal

    A second, but usually smaller, increase in runoff oc- curs in the autumn. In northern Finland more than 95% of annual maximum floods are caused by spring snowmelt (cf. Fig. 7a). Also the small upstream lakes in the northern part of the lake area and the northernmost of the coastal rivers fall mainly into this cat- egory. In most coastal rivers the major floods can be caused by either snowmelt /media/ces/Journal_of_Hydrology_Veijalainen_etal.pdf
  • 13. 2010_003rs

    ................ 91 Figure B.5. Rake distribution for mapped faults/clusters in boxes E and F, Brennisteinsfjöll-Bláfjöll. ................................................................................. 92 Figure B.6. Rake distribution for mapped faults/clusters in box G, Ölfus. ......................... 93 Figure B.7. Rake distribution for mapped faults/clusters in box H, Hengill, active between January /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2010/2010_003rs.pdf
  • 14. D2.3_CES_Prob_fcsts_GCMs_and_RCMs

    Institution BCCR-BCM2.0 Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Norway CGCM3.1 (T47) Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis CGCM3.1 (T63) same as previous CNRM-CM3 Météo-France CSIRO-MK3.0 CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Australia ECHAM5/MPI-OM Max Planck Institute (MPI) for Meteorology, Germany ECHO-G University of Bonn and Model & Data Group, Germany; Korean Meteorological Agency GFDL /media/ces/D2.3_CES_Prob_fcsts_GCMs_and_RCMs.pdf
  • 15. CES_D2_2_poster_3x3

    (median) changes from the model-based hindcast. Bottom: the location of the observed change within the hindcast probability distribution. Blue (red) shading indicates areas where the observed change was above the 95th percentile (below the 5th percentile) of the hindcast distribution. These maps show that there was no detailed agreement between the best-estimate precipitation change hindcast /media/ces/CES_D2_2_poster_3x3.pdf
  • 16. CES_D2.4_task1

    is projected to approach 90%. The impact of anthropogenic climate change on precipitation is still estimated to be very small at present. In the middle of this century, typically about 60% of all months are projected to have above-median precipitation in northern Europe, although with a substantial variation with the time of the year. An on-line appendix of this report provides detailed tables /media/ces/CES_D2.4_task1.pdf
  • 17. Lorenzoni_Pidgeon_2006

    for people to conceptualise and to relate to their daily activities, arguably because it cannot be easily translated into the language of popular culture (Ungar, 2000; see also mental models of cli- mate change by Bostrom et al., 1994; Kempton, 1997; discussed later). Secondly, the various datasets available detailing public opinions and attitudes on climate PUBLIC VIEWS ON CLIMATE CHANGE: EUROPEAN /media/loftslag/Lorenzoni_Pidgeon_2006.pdf
  • 18. Isskyrsla_20100407

    N66°44.92' W025°08.94' 79. N66°45.01' W025°08.50' 80. N66°46.32' W025°10.27' 81. N66°46.73' W025°07.19' 82. N66°46.01' W025°04.86' 83. N66°46.22' W025°04.33' 84. N66°47.12' W025°06.45' 85. N66°47.26' W025°04.36' 86. N66°48.44' W025°03.60' 87. N66°49.10' W025°04.45' 88. N66°51.68' W025°03.27' 89. N66°53.36' W024°59.25' 90. N66°55.39' W024°58.89' 91. N66°55.82' W024°58.13' 92. N66°56.15' W025°01.15 /media/hafis/skyrslur_lhg/Isskyrsla_20100407.pdf
  • 19. CES_D2.4_VMGO

    the territories of European Russia (ER) and Europe (EU) an ensemble of 9 CMIP3 [1] comprehensive global (coupled atmosphere-ocean) climate models is used in this assessment (Table 1); so called A2 scenario is considered. Both A2 and A1B scenarios are similar in terms of resulting global mean warming up to the mid-21st century IPCC [2]. The projected changes in ER and EU in many cases continue /media/ces/CES_D2.4_VMGO.pdf
  • 20. PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final

    Christian Refsgaard, GEUS All week AP Adriaan Perrels, FMI All week SK Sigrún Karsldóttir, IMO All week FU Frederik Uldal, University of Copenhagen Logistic support Course material Papers and book chapters - recommended reading Henriksen HJ, Barlebo HC (2008) Reflections on the use of Bayesian belief networks for adaptive management. Journal of Environmental Management, 88, 1025- 1036. doi:10.1016 /media/vedurstofan/PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final.pdf

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